Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 7, 2021

October 7, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Doo Wop Don 1.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dr. Roger 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Camptown Races 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Smiling Teufles 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Heaven’s Tale 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Trinni John 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Rain Suddenly 15.00 8 15-1
8 8 Ali Owns the Fight 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Destiny 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 World Gone Wild 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Charlotte the Brit 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Beyond Heavenly 4.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Patrick’s Lass 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Henni Penny 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Touring Egypt 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lady Paynter 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Fabiola Princess 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 C’Est Parti 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Syllabus 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Backstretchbeauty 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Check Twice 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 She’s So Serious 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Magnolia Road 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Five Prizes 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Sandpiper Memories 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Beechnut Trophy 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Palmach 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ha’ Penny 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Presencia 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sky Chaser 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Don’t Get Khozy 1.40 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bramble Berry 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Panarea 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Lady Fiorella 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bahamian Moon 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Famous Gent 3.00 1 2-1
7 6 Exponential 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Ocean Ride 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Al Hilal 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Ethos 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lord Darnley 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Boca Guy 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Unimpeached 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 Palemma 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Sweeney’s Cat 15.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Black Limo 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Picking Up Pennies 2.50 1 2-1
7 6 Hero Tiger 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Kantstaros 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Gump 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Thinkaboutit 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Star Weaver 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Creative Cloud 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Chica Boom 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Forbidden Dream 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Love My Job 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Flashy Too 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Rivercrest Road 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 The Rain Is Coming 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Souper All Star 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Starship Nugget 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Outkickthecoverage 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Sweden 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Bonny Bell 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More