October 7, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doo Wop Don | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Roger | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Camptown Races | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Teufles | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heaven’s Tale | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trinni John | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rain Suddenly | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ali Owns the Fight | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Destiny | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | World Gone Wild | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlotte the Brit | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Heavenly | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patrick’s Lass | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Henni Penny | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Touring Egypt | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Paynter | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fabiola Princess | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C’Est Parti | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Syllabus | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backstretchbeauty | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Check Twice | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s So Serious | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magnolia Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Five Prizes | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandpiper Memories | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beechnut Trophy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palmach | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ha’ Penny | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Presencia | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sky Chaser | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Get Khozy | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bramble Berry | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Panarea | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Fiorella | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bahamian Moon | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Famous Gent | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Exponential | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Ride | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Al Hilal | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ethos | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Darnley | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boca Guy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unimpeached | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Palemma | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweeney’s Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Black Limo | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Picking Up Pennies | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hero Tiger | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kantstaros | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gump | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thinkaboutit | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Weaver | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Cloud | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Chica Boom | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forbidden Dream | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love My Job | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Too | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rivercrest Road | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Rain Is Coming | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper All Star | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Nugget | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Outkickthecoverage | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweden | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bonny Bell | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.