Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 7, 2021

October 7, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sunny Saint 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Rogue Rage 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Maracaibo 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Iron Pearls 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Angel’s Entry 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Hookeai 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Upcycle 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Cross the Mersey 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Winterthur 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Moniques Daredevil 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Courageous Grace 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 So Who’s Back 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Kirby 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jarlian 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Galilean Moon 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Hachacha 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Freeze Turkey 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Zalfierro 12.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Bridlecrest 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Second Line David 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Carnelian 2.50 1 2-1
5 4 Platinum Gem 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 3 Special Beam 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Seize the Whiskey 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Murumbi 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Miss Invincible 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Te Amo 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Reign On and On 15.00 9 17-1
1 1 I Love Maria 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 4 Baci 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 2 Lake Parima 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bella Pierina 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 5 Laughin’ Place 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 3 Kefaliani 15.00 9 17-1
2 2 Daria’s Angel 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 My Little Rosy 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Catsoutofthebag 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Witch 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ellas My Love 2.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Chrisatude 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Maximus Midani 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Tapping the Glass 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Smithwick’s Spice 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Tapsasional 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Last Investment 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Arrivederla 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Hibachi 2.50 2 4-1
1 2 Wentz 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 1 Shackqueenking 6.00 4.2 8-1
1A 6 D’ Rapper 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Shoo Shine 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Substantial 8.00 SCRATCH
6 7 My Boy Lenny 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Remember Hymn 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Cash Kid 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Perpetual Change 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Holy Guacamole 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 El Guapo 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Big Daddy Buzz 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Gregoria’s Bay 8.00 6.5 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.