October 7, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Saint | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rogue Rage | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maracaibo | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Pearls | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel’s Entry | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hookeai | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Upcycle | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cross the Mersey | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winterthur | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moniques Daredevil | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Courageous Grace | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Who’s Back | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kirby | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jarlian | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galilean Moon | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hachacha | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freeze Turkey | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zalfierro | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bridlecrest | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Second Line David | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Carnelian | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Platinum Gem | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Special Beam | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seize the Whiskey | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Murumbi | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Invincible | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Te Amo | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reign On and On | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Love Maria | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Baci | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lake Parima | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Pierina | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Laughin’ Place | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Kefaliani | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daria’s Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Little Rosy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Catsoutofthebag | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Witch | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ellas My Love | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chrisatude | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Midani | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapping the Glass | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smithwick’s Spice | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapsasional | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Investment | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arrivederla | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Hibachi | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Wentz | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shackqueenking | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | D’ Rapper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shoo Shine | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Substantial | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | My Boy Lenny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Remember Hymn | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cash Kid | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perpetual Change | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Guacamole | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Guapo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Daddy Buzz | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gregoria’s Bay | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.