October 3, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flower Point | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Too Much Tip | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Cake (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sosua | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madeleine Must (FR) | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Balinese | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedomofthepress | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peacebethejourney | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salino | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dearest Kitten | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Synonymous | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Exotic Cat | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Nutter | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Control Function | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Happy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stonecoldwarrior | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaden | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Gazoo | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fenway | 1.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forty Comets | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scherzando | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir William | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Pilgrim S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Portfolio Company | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Annapolis | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Limited Liability | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Doctor Jeff | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Worker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | City At Night | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Regal Empire | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reghitto | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Deja Vu | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flatbush | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream of a Day | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Britain | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Looking to Heaven | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tommy Bee | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | India Tiger | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exclusive Order | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Fast | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fishing for Fun | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Good Skate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Glory Road | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Thirty Five | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Tom | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Musical America | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zoomer | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Storm | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amatteroftime | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Dubai | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Fatima | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alba’s Star | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Good Times | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gambling Cat | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coworth Park | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Romance | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Down Days | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Giggle Factory | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Fawzia | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mirabell Mei | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Positive Skew | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton Waya S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Sister Nat (FR) | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Lucky | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always Shopping | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Otoole | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Lover | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orglandes (FR) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Love (GB) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Frizette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot Fudge | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jester Calls Nojoy | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty Brew | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo Zulu | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gerrymander | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Circle | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Mo Reay | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saucy Lady T | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jumeirah | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Just Right | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steam Engine | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judge N Jury | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gandy Dancing | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Market Alert | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bronx Bomber | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Gator | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Pal | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River Dog | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Up Paynter | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.