Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 2, 2021

October 2, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fluent 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Keychain Girl 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Granola Girl 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Love Gone Wild 6.00 2.9 6-1
14 14 Travel Smart 10.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 So It Would Seem 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Tom’s Beauty 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Pretty Rena 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Booze Runner 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Music Festival 10.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Saddle Up Jessie 10.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Silent Beauty 8.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Ayellowroseoftexas 15.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 So Softly 12.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Velvet Ghost 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tex Hanley 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Chris Fix 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Arthur Spooner 1.60 3.3 6-1
1 1 Floyd Knowles 3.50 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – City Of Hope Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo Forza 1.20 1.6 3-1
4 4 Order and Law 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Smooth Like Strait 1.60 2.6 5-1
3 3 Hit the Road 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Red Storm Risen 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kiss My Kat 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Big Novel 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bold Choice 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Cause She’s a Lady 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Warren’s Show Bizz 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Unwritten Code 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Madiha 3.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Commander (FR) 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Thanks Mr. Eidson 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Fratelli 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Whooping Jay 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Unbridled Ethos 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Coulthard (IRE) 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Crew Dragon 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Perfectionistic 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eight Rings 1.20 1.4 3-1
4 4 Classier 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Proverb 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Parsimony 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Taishan 4.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Secret Club 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 U. S. Danger 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Subconscious 12.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 First Premio 4.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Dominant Soul 12.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Vantastic 6.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Memo Daddy (CHI) 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 One Fast Bro 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Constitutionaffair 15.00 6.8 13-1
14 14 Kazan (IRE) 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Lincoln Hawk (IRE) 6.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Parnelli 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Burnin Turf 8.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Laker Mamba 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dr. Schivel 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Collusion Illusion 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 C Z Rocket 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Vertical Threat 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Flagstaff 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Colt Fiction 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Rodeo Drive S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Luck 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Fast Jet Court (BRZ) 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Neige Blanche (FR) 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Magic Attitude (GB) 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Red Lark (IRE) 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Going to Vegas 2.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Crystalle 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Dogtag 4.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Rideforthecause 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Awesome Again S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tizamagician 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Medina Spirit 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Express Train 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Azul Coast 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Midcourt 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Idol 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Tripoli 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Stilleto Boy 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – John Henry Turf Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Master Piece (CHI) 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 United 2.50 2.9 5-1
11 11 Cupid’s Claws 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Award Winner 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Acclimate 4.50 6 11-1
5 5 Ready Soul 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Camino Del Paraiso 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Neptune’s Storm 6.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Media Blitz 20.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Friar’s Road 15.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Red King 15.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 K P All Systems Go 20.00 12.5 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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