October 2, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fluent | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keychain Girl | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Granola Girl | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Gone Wild | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Travel Smart | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | So It Would Seem | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom’s Beauty | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Rena | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Booze Runner | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Music Festival | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saddle Up Jessie | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Silent Beauty | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ayellowroseoftexas | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So Softly | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Ghost | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tex Hanley | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chris Fix | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur Spooner | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floyd Knowles | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – City Of Hope Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Forza | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Order and Law | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Like Strait | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit the Road | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Storm Risen | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kiss My Kat | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Novel | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Choice | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cause She’s a Lady | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unwritten Code | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madiha | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Commander (FR) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fratelli | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whooping Jay | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Ethos | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coulthard (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crew Dragon | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfectionistic | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eight Rings | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classier | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proverb | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Parsimony | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taishan | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Secret Club | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | U. S. Danger | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Subconscious | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | First Premio | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dominant Soul | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vantastic | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Memo Daddy (CHI) | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Fast Bro | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Constitutionaffair | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Kazan (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parnelli | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Burnin Turf | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laker Mamba | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Schivel | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collusion Illusion | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C Z Rocket | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vertical Threat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flagstaff | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colt Fiction | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Rodeo Drive S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Luck | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Jet Court (BRZ) | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neige Blanche (FR) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Attitude (GB) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Lark (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Going to Vegas | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crystalle | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dogtag | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rideforthecause | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Awesome Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tizamagician | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Medina Spirit | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Express Train | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Azul Coast | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midcourt | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Idol | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tripoli | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stilleto Boy | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – John Henry Turf Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Master Piece (CHI) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | United | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cupid’s Claws | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Award Winner | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Acclimate | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready Soul | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camino Del Paraiso | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neptune’s Storm | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Media Blitz | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Friar’s Road | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red King | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | K P All Systems Go | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.