October 2, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amigos Tune | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skamania | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shall Return | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shatter Me | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Erica | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thea’s Theme | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Whistle Player | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky as a Seven | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Souper Energizer | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Recycle | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Damir | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Who’s Counting | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Alpha | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Felix the Fox | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Jimmy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hail Southern | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Susikin | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Probably Grace | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bodes Sunset | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mary Costa | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Toast to Kay | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Clarist | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Kaylie’s Girl | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Car Lady | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Chit Chat Girl | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sunshine Bay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jammin Jimtown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Storm Factor | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | National Honor | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Boss Factor | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Blake | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jag | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jammer | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Affluential | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enkidu | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Flatexcel | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Fate | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Hit the Ticket | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Enough | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empty Nestr | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ahsad | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Emperor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | In Him With Him | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mo Normal | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Dreaming | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Chatter | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream About Me | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Minding Millie | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | That Is Key | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backstreet Gal | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caira | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wee Arch | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Takingtimeoff | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Inanna’s Quest | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Downtown Katie | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | John’s Promise | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harper | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skyscanner | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Swing | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nashvegas | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E J’s Revenge | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storming My Way | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tomater Gator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kitten Tales | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosteria | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Winds of Capri | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vicious Velma | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farcical | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Leah Chase | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factor In | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Azura | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three Coins | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toss a Coin | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slip Sliding Away | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dreamanytime | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Don of Squan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galilee | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | English Lad | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brewing Storm | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allaboutthebeach | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tomorrows Heaven | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Readthetranscript | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.