October 2, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doublepour | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eucharist | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halstaat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Profusion | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hangar One | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnificent Chrome | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Litterbox | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho Sunshine | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indoctrinate | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Caironi | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Streak | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Radiant Gem | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dance for Gold | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Herington Rocket | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosebug | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Redzilla | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sirius Princess | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Targeted Return | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Air Cavalry | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | April Antics | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suspended Campaign | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Electric Youth | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Horseshoe Falls | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raffinity | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amity Island | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Miss Grillo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kinchen (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hail To | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Philly Eagles (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McKulick (GB) | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlee O | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sail By | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | First Constitution (CHI) | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vindictive | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backsideofthemoon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letmeno | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Limonite | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You’re to Blame | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Attack | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Babyitsgoldoutside | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Missy Greer | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Labels | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hype House | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Light | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Puglia | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Longridge Fell (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Full Count Felicia | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Kiss | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Tide | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hoopla | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molino | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Life On Top | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fingal | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Albie | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lord Flintshire | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hilliard | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Landbiscuit | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scotty | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boldish | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Champagne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Commandperformance | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Prankster | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Christopher | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gunite | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wit | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kavod | 50.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Therapist | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guildsman (FR) | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backtohisroots | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arrest Me Red | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buy Land and See | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pulsate | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chewing Gum | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piedi Bianchi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Belgrano | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Woodward S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Art Collector | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Code of Honor | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr Post | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maxfield | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forza Di Oro | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Gotcha | 50.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beau Brown | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sportini | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rogue Leader | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hot Doctor | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tuesday’s Child | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mikro | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nightspot | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Flintshire’s Rock | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Great Gazoo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gotanda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Stonecoldwarrior | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Sky | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sandor Clegane | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Out of the Breech | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gongheifatchoy | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.