October 1, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ferrariano | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carmelita’s Man | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilder Than Most | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viking Plunder | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Found My Ball | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Your Jets | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hapi Hapi | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | You’re My Boy Kat | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Town Boy | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Apollo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Leaf | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eye Candy Randy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Swede | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sumter | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fight On Ron | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elevado | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trebbiano | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Riviera Champ | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crypto Munny | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beef Winslow | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Del Mo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hannigan | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roy C | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raku Firing | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Charlie’s Ghost | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Platinum Equity | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smileforme | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsthattime | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Street | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buttered Noodles | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | P R Radio Star | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Speakeasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forbidden Kingdom | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Timer | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Party | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anmer Hall | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Alacrity | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock the Belles | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame It On Rose | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Chandelier S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grace Adler | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Easy | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance to the Music | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elm Drive | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Censorship | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Electric Ride | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Dawn | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Eddie D S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Snapper Sinclair | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whisper Not (GB) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Law Abidin Citizen | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charmaine’s Mia | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caribou Club | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lieutenant Dan | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chaos Theory | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mesut | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – American Pharoah S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Corniche | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockefeller | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oviatt Class | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Drummer | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joker Boy | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pappacap | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finneus | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Austin James | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grazeninstilettos | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Va Va Voom | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piazzetta | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Summer | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Self Isolation | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Little Susie | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chao Mar | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shez Our Arch | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Starship Endeavor | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | O Shugah Mint | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Channel | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.