Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 1, 2021

October 1, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ferrariano 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Carmelita’s Man 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Wilder Than Most 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Viking Plunder 2.50 4 7-1
7 7 Found My Ball 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Cool Your Jets 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Hapi Hapi 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 You’re My Boy Kat 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 5 Town Boy 1.60 2.1 4-1
1 1 King Apollo 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Bright Leaf 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Eye Candy Randy 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Big Swede 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sumter 3.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Fight On Ron 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Elevado 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Trebbiano 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Riviera Champ 8.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Crypto Munny 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Beef Winslow 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Del Mo 20.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Hannigan 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Roy C 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Raku Firing 20.00 8 15-1
12 12 Charlie’s Ghost 10.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Platinum Equity 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Smileforme 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Itsthattime 8.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 California Street 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Buttered Noodles 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 P R Radio Star 2.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Speakeasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Forbidden Kingdom 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 One Timer 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Time to Party 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Anmer Hall 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Miss Alacrity 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Rock the Belles 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Blame It On Rose 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Chandelier S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grace Adler 1.80 1.3 2-1
2 2 Ain’t Easy 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Dance to the Music 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Elm Drive 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Censorship 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Electric Ride 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Desert Dawn 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Eddie D S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Snapper Sinclair 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Whisper Not (GB) 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Law Abidin Citizen 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Gregorian Chant (GB) 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Charmaine’s Mia 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Caribou Club 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Lieutenant Dan 3.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Chaos Theory 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Mesut 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – American Pharoah S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Corniche 1.20 1.1 2-1
6 6 Rockefeller 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Oviatt Class 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Flying Drummer 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Joker Boy 15.00 4 7-1
7 7 Pappacap 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Finneus 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Austin James 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Grazeninstilettos 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Va Va Voom 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Piazzetta 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Big Summer 2.50 4.4 8-1
12 12 Self Isolation 5.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Little Susie 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Chao Mar 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Shez Our Arch 20.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Starship Endeavor 12.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 O Shugah Mint 15.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Spanish Channel 20.00 10.5 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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