Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 1, 2021

October 1, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pat’s Factor 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Voltamour 6.00 4.6 9-1
16 16 Two Princes 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Seville Row 8.00 5.4 10-1
13 13 Crack the Safe 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Samui Sunset 6.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Noble Mischief 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Love Life 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Grecian Pharoah 3.50 6.7 13-1
5 5 Strolled On By 4.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Eric’s Empire 15.00 7.8 15-1
15 15 Nicky Bear 8.00 8 15-1
12 12 Pauping 15.00 8.2 15-1
14 14 Bulldog Connection 20.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 I’ve Gotta Plan 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Senor Seville 12.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Volnay 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Miss Tap Dance 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 5 Devilish Affair 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Behind the Couch 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Factorintheheat 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Assume 8.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stronger Than Dex 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Von Hoff 2.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Dathoss 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Outkissed 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Bowie Two Step 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Icy Minister 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Line Change 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mr. Nineteen 12.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Royal Thunder 15.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Justwaveandsmile 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Visual Artist 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Ladneedsahandler 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mosby’s Ranger 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Hushed Hijinks 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Shelly Island 4.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 New York One 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Josef Is Real 6.00 5.2 10-1
14 14 Rapidashqueen 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Rising Perry 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 You Can Never Tell 15.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Dragon Moon 10.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Hard to Be Humble 4.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tremendous 2.50 3 6-1
10 10 Supporting Actor 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Dejohn 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Don’t Dare Me 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Paint Music for Me 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 El Equalizer 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Al Brown 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Replicant 4.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Rockin Ron 30.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Crying for More 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Torch Carrier 5.00 3.3 6-1
15 15 Eponine 20.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Gypsy’s Image 15.00 4 7-1
1 1 El Bochinche 3.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 El Milagra 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Candy Corner 4.50 6.8 13-1
16 16 Zola B 4.00 6.9 13-1
14 14 Missawlet 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Hidden Persuasion 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Hickory Made 10.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 X Marks the Spot 30.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Chelichna 15.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Veryan 30.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Nine Mast 6.00 9 17-1
13 13 Mosler’s Touch 4.50 9.5 18-1
11 11 Looking for Love 5.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Life Don’t Owe You 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Kenny Had a Notion 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Ziggy Mon 1.80 3.2 6-1
5 5 Cry No More 1.60 3.7 7-1
1 1 Stone Courageous 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Karan’s Notion 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Radical Right 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Holiday House 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Full of Mischief 5.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Roll Dem Bones 8.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Grunder’s Call 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Made to Be Lucky 30.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Zatip 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Trust Daddy 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Auction Kingdom 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 He Gone 30.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Northern Aurora 6.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Uhwarrie Sky 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mo Zone 20.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Lucky Ramsey 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Vincent Van Gogo 20.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Posterity 8.00 3.4 6-1
14 14 Kikinboy 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mokheef 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Crazy Kater 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Hard Fought 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Solomonic 12.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Chateau de Vizille 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Donji 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Keeping the Peace 30.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Minister’s Strike 4.50 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.