Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 30, 2021

September 30, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Finding Mischief 15.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Brett’s World 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Farm Boy 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Big City Red 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Star Deputy 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Just Like Mike 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Holy Meister 3.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Emoji Guy 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Anna’s Dream 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Judge Judith 10.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Alobrah 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Raw Honey 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Icy Rain 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Chess Not Checkers 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Rough Enough 8.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Playa Inclusion 15.00 2 4-1
7 7 Nana Fanny 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Designed to Dazzle 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Wow Tapit 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Miss Beth’el 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Queen’s Best 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Whiterose Spirit 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Ivy Way 50.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Romance in Habana 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blessed Beast 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Takestwotowiggle 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Bion Magic 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 My Masterpiece 10.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Silver Package 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Chutzpah 2.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Bionic Bottle 3.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moon Party 10.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Strategy Queen 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Alarm Clock 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Gamble’s Orb 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Empress Ellie 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Poiema 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Quentessa 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 R Girl’s Werth It 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lady Puchi 4.50 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sneaky Cheeky 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Candymeister 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 She Nasty 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Del Rey Dolly 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Mollies Hope 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Blushing Keylen 5.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cuestion de Tiempo 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Madeira Wine 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Go Mike 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Light Fury 2.50 6.6 12-1
4 4 Vow Me Now 1.60 6.6 13-1
5 5 Durocher 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Colonel Jackson 15.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Champina 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Frost This 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Aspropodia 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Mariahs Christmas 30.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Calidad 2.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Oh No Its T B 30.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Trinni Girls 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Paddy Kaye’s Wild 3.00 6 11-1
1 1 Water Wizard 15.00 6.1 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.