September 30, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Courvoisier | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rich’s Way | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Medication | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mugsy Malone | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Economizer | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Hill | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s Classy | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Lynne | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moniques Daredevil | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Courageous Grace | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Promise of Joy | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kirby | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catirusia | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mashugana | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fred’s Sheila | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coatandtierequired | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valiant Gabe | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nato | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Night Boss | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captured Dreams | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shed a Tear | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Instant Chaos | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dontforgettoblink | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bastien Le Brown | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Penn Legacy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiang | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quad Eights | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saafen | 1.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Freedom | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runner | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Mister | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nevisian Spirit | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bird Tycoon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Glovanna | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jumpstartmyheart | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ghostly Beauty | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alin Azul | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Little Rosy | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sundrenched | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockstar Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chit Chat Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pride Leader | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Sniveling | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Alana | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fairy Wish | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mortal Storm | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canoochee | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tink | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Risk | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Square Peg | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Trifor Gold | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Somekindofmagician | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Soulmate | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Super Dude | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Thundershook | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Sandy Lane Kitten | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jack the Umpire | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Rileys Dude | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | My Boy Lenny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Entertainment | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Taxable Goods | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Mt Suribachi | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hot to Party | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truly a Dream | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cocktails At Eight | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Stance | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alys Great Notion | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Tizmo | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Normalizeddeviance | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Offlee Graysful | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.