Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 29, 2021

September 29, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Party in the Sand 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Chancee 1.80 2.7 5-1
1 1 Iza One 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Silver Excess 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Serious Happiness 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Frosty Friend 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Posseineffecttoo 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Visiting Angel 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Wishes and Dreams 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Empress Irene 1.80 3.7 7-1
3 3 Presto Change O 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Secuencia 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Deserted 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Mistress 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Cape Cod Sally 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Crick 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Leftatthealtar 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Angelsfour Michele 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Trapped N My Mind 1.80 4.1 8-1
3 3 Dial a Lady 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Finglas 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Blugrascat’s Smile 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Seat of Honor 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Boat Over the Hill 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Diamond Square 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Neighborhood Bully 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Get the W 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Hooray for Harvey 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Classified Info 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Greenback 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Silver Fury 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Cobble Hill 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Cape May Style 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Speed Syndrome 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Prince Khozan 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Wild Haven 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tactical Plan 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Pharaoh’s City 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 4 Jones Taxi 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Quality Special 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Kid Mac Cool 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rockin Cowboy 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Late Breaking News 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Pecan Pattie 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Galileo’s Affair 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Cat Giumarello 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 I’m Thirsty 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Florencia 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Rose of Dublin 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Fleeterthan 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lil Miss Hotshot 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Wagon Boss 1.60 3.3 6-1
1 1 Factor This In 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Luxury Suite 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mucho Mas Grande 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Diamond Setter 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Ty Ran a Homer 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Sacred Mountain 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Chinomadito 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Eclipsed Moon 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Heated Battle 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Pa Encima 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Vencil 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Olympique 4.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bizzy Gillespie 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Rickie’s Melody 6.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Charly’s Assassin 15.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Reigning Champion 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Duck Ducky Goose 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Top Shotta 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Oracabessa 20.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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