September 29, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jack Luvs Nova | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purrs Well | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Restless Rocker | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drink More Bourbon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Confusion | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calichito | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hookeai | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Sky Venezuela | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Pal | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Petes Pride | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dustwhirl Wonder | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angel Raphael | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Horizen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dilly Dilly Philly | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mutakaamil | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Estilo Varonil | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Wizard | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Combating | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eden Rock | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fulgurant | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Fire Within | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angel’s Entry | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nothin Really | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Missed the Bus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Buy the Best | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Determined Truth | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Sassy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Fast One | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ain’t She a Pistol | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dario’s Angel | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Intrepid Daydream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Arlo Bello | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Souper Pronto | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Axxerator | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Run On the Trail | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 12 | Sea Ketch | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heart of Savino | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Prince of Portland | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Braces | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Artie’s Angel | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Reel Well | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sapio Social | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Wine to Roses | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Compact | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flight to Shanghai | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sammie Sunshine | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daria’s Angel | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moma Tiger | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misty Taste | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caught Up in You | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | One Two Kid | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deckology | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Captain Thunder | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Mormon Mauler | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Director (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Yowza Yowza Yowza | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Initforthelove | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | David’s Prospec | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bill’s Mafia | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Samuro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Dramatized | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Lucky Aces | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Grumley | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Handsome Man | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Last Romance | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Espresso Lungo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Grant | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bigshot On Nothing | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mugsy Malone | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Amazing Alex | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.