Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 27, 2021

September 27, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pop Pop’s Boy 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Combat Ribbon 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Thorover 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Sailor Again 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Dreaming Thousand 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 I Saw It All 8.00 4 7-1
6 6 Harbor Crossing 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nurturing 1.80 2.9 5-1
4 4 Same Moon 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Happycrest 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Our West Indy 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Get Her Readyeddie 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Shes Euphoric 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Yourindenial 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lil Tater 1.60 2.6 5-1
4 4 Starship Blanca 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Clout Chaser 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lulinda’s Heart 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Risen Change 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Touch Me Not 10.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Bohemia Babe 3.50 4.9 9-1
10 7 Let’s Celebrate 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 4 Pegasus in Flight 2.00 5.8 11-1
9 6 La Panzanella 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 2 Misbehaving Lady 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Creative Joy 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 3 Treasure Seeker 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Irish Jumper 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Blueberry Pie 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Crimson Lille 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Princess Toishma 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Monday’s With Mike 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 3 Dr. Grunseich 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 1 Kolohe Prince 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 2 Longtail 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 4 Yes for Less 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Green Growth 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Knokke by the Sea 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Grandfire 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 What About Tonight 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 4 Zensational Dixie 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Aussie Mist 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Heroic Officer 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Twirling Liz 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 La Purissima 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Niangua 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Titrate 3.50 4.3 8-1
10 7 Couch Dreams 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 6 Big Perm 4.00 4.9 9-1
12 9 Ouch Ouch Ouch 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 5 Rated Special 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 2 Lt. Columbo 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 3 Brew Dog 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 8 Judicial Restraint 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Who’s Counting 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Patriot’s War 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Sophos 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Cartouche 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Chronology 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Solid Gold Dancer 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Li’lbito’charm 1.80 4.9 9-1
9 7 Empress Deona 15.00 5 9-1
8 6 Excitable Lady 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Three Potatoe Four 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Katesaluckygirl 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Billieanne 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Storm Advisory 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Direct Order 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Baringer Spring 8.00 4.9 9-1
12 9 Appealing Future 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Star Sign 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Puttheglassdown 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Arrecife 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Naughty Prince 5.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Spikes Shirl 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Moonachie 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tudox Expectations 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Irish Colonel 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 11:38
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3rd - 13:00
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3rd - 9:11
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3rd - 0:00
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3rd - 14:57
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3rd - 9:14
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3rd - 12:43
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3rd - 10:02
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3rd - 9:06
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Halftime
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