September 26, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Super Scooby | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vlajko | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honor My World | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Themsfightinwords | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | L’Artiste | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dunluce Caissle | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Tower | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mango Man | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Transfer the Funds | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jestful | 2.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Be Yourself | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Current | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justinthenickotime | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlee Fox | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Passport | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Order for Porky | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B Determined | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Royal Number | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point Driven | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingston Pike | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Ima Starboy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Walk | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Sizzling Time | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Francis X. | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dirty Dirty | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wonderville | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star of Normandy | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spritzer | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hair of the Dog | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Virginia Fib | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sachmo | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Great Affair | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lassman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Badger Tooth | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Romantic Man | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Megalomania | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willow Drive | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bay of Angels | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | You’re Doing Fine | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peculiarity | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Americas Woman | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Green Eyes | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Howsafearemycolors | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bless and Honor | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dare to Try | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tusk | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Closer Look | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Youngest of Five | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince James | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shackled Love | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Poser | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gallant George | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Pere | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fair Catch | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Godlovesasinner | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flashinthenight | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | By the Sey Shore | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Boy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slippin Jimmy | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Federale | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ms. Haiti | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Millie Child | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trikki Nikki | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alluring Rumba | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aprilness | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artemis Rising | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Gracie | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Claire’s Darling | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dominating Buyer | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Likely Choice | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devilish Affair | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stefanie On Fleek | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lucky Day Diva | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.