September 26, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Allegedly Perfect | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marcelino | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frenchmen Street | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malraux | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kantharos’ Image | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Saman | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Everyonelovesjames | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Graceful Kitten | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Black Jet | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kobe Fifty Two | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fuzzy Irish Rascal | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cozy Cafe | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Lion | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gaga Oh La La | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome View | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherry Rock Bridge | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Written in Red | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Freezer Burn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rod Two Rod | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skippylongstocking | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inkosi | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kuhl Star | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Euphoria Star | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Down to Bizzness | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yes I’m a Beast | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adventure Seeker | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venezuela First | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onward Austin | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oriental Park | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rayo Colorado | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gonna Be Epic | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honesto | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sette Stelle | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweeney’s Cat | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Billy Bones | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Claude Ray | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Got Floffy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overstated | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Indy | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lazaretto | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bonno | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barrel Proof | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Step Ed | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Parker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Dude | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acaseaday | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Tarzan | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Be Honest | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vitaemi | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chez Paree | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Fiorella | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Between Dreams | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cat’s J N J | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Jazmine | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Sigrun Fast Boy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Crown of Honor | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piypa de Lynda | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Toretto | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daisy’s Doc | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gilded Asset | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raise the Rent | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kidtapit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Fru Fru Zan | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Playera | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Causingahullbaloo | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | La Chica Lateral | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mackenzie’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Victoria’s Dance | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bahamian Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alluramore | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Rosa Star | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Thing of Beauty | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Short Circuit | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Coast | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Frankie’s Girl | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Keitany | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ilknur | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madeira Wine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Katiesdreamgirl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Brody’s Honor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.