September 26, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shalimar Gardens | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tekila | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big City Momma | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Sunny Valentine | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Vixen | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Cara | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Sandro the Great | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viking Zim | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghostmon | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pivotal Run | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Journey | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Novel | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrowheart | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Reunion Tour | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cox’s Ledge | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Straight Skinny | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shutters | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Addicted to You | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Remembermom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wicked Karma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Brian’s Mission | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mambonick | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Rogers Ginger | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Rudy Rod | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Partner’s Hope | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Voter Protection | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Uncle Mo’s Cat | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Mister J T | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thruster | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Theregoesmymiracle | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beckenbauer | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Motion to Strike | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Bertram F. Bongard S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Senbei | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whittington Park | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shipsational | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Happy B | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surprise Boss | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Silky Blue | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Timeless Journey | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fetching | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Kreesie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pure Bode | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Karen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mike’s Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Honey Money | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Prairie Fire | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fair Regis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Itsakeyper | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Party At Page’s | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kinky Sox | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Let Her Inspire U | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pimenova | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Venti Valentine | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Fist | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Try It Again | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trinity Titoli | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shane’s Risk | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sister Linda | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Know It All Audrey | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Take Charge Lisa | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Flame | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Laochi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Grannys Connection | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Twist Just Right | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cindy’s Choice | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Mia | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prefect | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Made My Day (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Public Information | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Agent Creed | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Voliero | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Realm | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silver Token | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sidd Finch | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Count Down | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Regality | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gateway Guardian | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rocco Strong | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Road to Success | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Justintimeforwine | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Andrew | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | My Lips Are Sealed | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Just Ok Is Not Ok | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Marvelous Maude | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | English Breeze | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Unicorn Sally | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lookin to Fly | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Raining Candy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Golden Oldie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Home for Christmas | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 13 | Caramocha | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Chasing Cara | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Amity Island | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Epona’s Dream | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Masterof the Tunes | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stuy Town Baby | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gallant Bloom H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bella Sofia | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Avenue | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Call Me Mary | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Rocket | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Way | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Back Channel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Theodora Grace | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Athena Dancer | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Latkes | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | High School Crush | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Appreciate | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mazal Eighteen | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Happy Hill Lil | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Adele Kat | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ava K’s Girl | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beyond Brown | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Drum | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fifth Risk | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Proper Grammar | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.