Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 25, 2021

September 25, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Terrace Hill S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Iris Royal Jess 1.40 1.7 3-1
6 6 Kiss Me Anywhere 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Real Wagon 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Gracies Tuition 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cr Hez the Man 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Ts Dash to the End 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 A Starry Starry Nite 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Lil Romance Wagon 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Future Of Iowa S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Streakin Jesszee 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 Miss Kool Wagon 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Regal Dynasty 4.50 4 7-1
7 6 Queens Dashing Eagle 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 2 Blind Spot Bandit 15.00 7.2 14-1
12 10 Kays Dynasty 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 4 Lil Gabby J R 10.00 7.4 14-1
10 8 Apollitical Queen 15.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 West Crest Offense 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mr Kool Rancherita 10.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Shesa Favorite Gal 20.00 10.6 20-1
6 5 Lil Kool Runaway 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Polk County Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cr Appollitical Joe 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Appollitical Hawkeye 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Paint Me Tres 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 7 Pl Pearl Harbor 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Elbullseye 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Df Fabulous Flare 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Be the Change 15.00 6.6 13-1
10 8 Ts Wave as I Fly Bye 30.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Lil Kool Flash 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Iris Cowboy Casanova 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lil Romance Wagon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Futurity) – Jim Bader Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ts Jess Watch Me Fly 5.00 2 4-1
9 8 Sfs Alice Strikes 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Kisss and Teller 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Rakin in Mo 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Going Gaga 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Candy and Corona 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Ceeloo 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Kool Aid Wagon 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Lil Pistol Pete 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Fly Pesty Fly 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Iowa Sorority S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Demidanu 1.60 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ebony Pearl 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Kasa 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Kaylor 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Samira 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Simmering 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 C L Legacy 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Blaze Away N Hide 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Let’s Go Lacey 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 American Sue 20.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Iowa Cradle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ain’t Life Grand 0.80 1.4 3-1
7 6 Finish Up 5.00 3 6-1
5 4 Kwai Chang 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Shut Up Man 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Late for Lunch 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Tough Aint Enough 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Rockymountain Brew 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Star of Mine 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Breeders’ Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kela’s Turn 1.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bossy Moment 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Athenas Song 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Bayleywick 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Raisin Raisin 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Shesabidformidable 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Sassy Ain’t I 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Iowa Breeders’ Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sir Wally Wally 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Greedy Creedy 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Apollo Bay 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Time Goes On 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Jaysker 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 You Talkin to Me 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Lucky Louie 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Lord of the Palace 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Too Many Bills 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dan Johnson Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Topper T 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Scrutinizer 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Basic Chance 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 About Our Time 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 King Deuce 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Uncle Chad 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Discreet Invasion 20.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Woke Up in Love 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cape McKinzie 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Donna Reed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Snapy Gal 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Olive Oyl 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Apple Dapple 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Stonecold Stunner 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dark Silence 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Topless 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Zofia 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Governor Terry E. Branstad S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Kauai 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Net Gain 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Minecraft Maniac 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Chacha Real Smooth 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 John R 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Shweet Persuasion 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Mahomes 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Smart N Intuitive 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Whiskey Wednesday 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Allen’s Rocket 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stormin’ J. J. 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 For Me Let It Be 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 My Bobby McGee 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Chinlee 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Our Last Chance 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Applicant 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Years Fly By 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Phillip Justin 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Big Big Dream 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Say It Nicely 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.