Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 25, 2021

September 25, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Full of Luck (CHI) 1.20 1.4 3-1
4 4 The Black Album (FR) 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Unthrottled 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Engram 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Gordy’s Boy 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Roadside 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Borkan 1.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Eight Makar 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Mongol Altai 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Gone Awol 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sir Williams Dream 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lookout Point 1.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Charter Oak 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Recaptured Freedom 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Gemini Bay 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 After the Candy 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Len’s Luck 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Mesa Empire 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stay Happy 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Capture the Sea 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Awhitesportscoat 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Rinse and Repeat 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Studly Perfection 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Prince Ali 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Eskimo Roses 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Castle Gate 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Around the Dial 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Back Ring Luck 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Mr. Pickles 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Launch Pad 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Goldeneyed 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Man On the Moon 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Northern Gem 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sauls Call 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Barsabas 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 City of Champions 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Double the Gold 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Im Still Thirsty 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Shortman 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Go Thru the Hole 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dadstar 4.50 2.2 4-1
10 9 Heaven’s Music 2.50 2.6 5-1
9 8 Tizlightning 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Curling Secret 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Lookinformischief 5.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Arthur Spooner 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Laker Barry 10.00 5 9-1
8 7 Summanus 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 4 Trapalis 20.00 9.2 17-1
6 5 Tribal Dancing 20.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Real Pouch 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Risk and Reward 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Margot’s Boy 2.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Tizhotndusty 3.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Willy the Cobbler 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Signofthecross 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 On Raglan Road 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 The Beat 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Youonlylivetwice 2.50 2 4-1
9 8 Philly Lishes 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Beirut Beauty 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 My Tigress 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Backtoflash 10.00 5.6 10-1
8 7 Turf Kitty 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Mongolian Baby 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Liberty Liberty 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 1 Beautiful World 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 10 Allison’s Surprise 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 98 Scream and Shout 0.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Speedy Lou C 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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