Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 25, 2021

September 25, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Argentic (FR) 15.00 2 4-1
8 8 Weather Wiz 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Just Whistle 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Tappahannock 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 King Bubble (IRE) 3.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 King’s Honor (IRE) 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 My Man Pots N Pans 6.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 South Sea 6.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Flowmotion 5.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Vincent Van Gogo 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Walk Away Joe 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Artemus Bridge 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 Blue Danube 15.00 2.8 5-1
1 2 Victory Given 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 6 Victory Element 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 7 Grumpelstiltskin 10.00 5 9-1
2 1 Confusion Baby Boy 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 D C Fireman 2.50 5.4 10-1
7 8 Keeping the Peace 8.00 7.1 13-1
4 5 Championship Alley 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Thief of Hearts 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Roo La La 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Hashtag Lucky 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mick’sbestbetyet 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 She’s All Courage 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Prinecess Doir 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tuff But Fair 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Winston Pegg 15.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mystical Man 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Benandjoe 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Souper Fortune 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Willing to Speed 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 American d’Oro 3.50 6 11-1
7 7 English Tavern 5.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Torres Del Paine 4.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tyler Time 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Jack of Hearts 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Super Houdini 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Irishman 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Corkman 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Grey Giant 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Award Nominated 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 The Angry Man 2.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Emphasize 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Callyourightback 5.00 5 9-1
10 10 Nordic Rhythm 30.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Welshman 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Treasure Tradition 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Great Idea 6.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Ballyhoo Prince 4.50 8.2 15-1
8 8 Nth Power 15.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Tipyourhattothat 6.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Lacco Ameno 4.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Its Mr Poppi to U 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kinsaler 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ghost Stalker 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Gentleman Joe 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Yes Sir Colonel 2.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Ink 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Galatians 3.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Therisastormbrewin 3.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Armando R 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Celtic Treasure 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Sassy King 30.00 3.9 7-1
6 7 Tiz Mandate 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 6 Brutus 2.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Dream Big Dreams 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 2 Romp 3.00 6.1 12-1
1A 5 Jammin Jimtown 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zeyaraat 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 War Canoe 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Deciding Vote 4.50 6.1 12-1
7 7 Kiss the Girl 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Positive Danger 5.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Cat’s Pajamas 3.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 La Babia 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Elke Do Jaguarete (BRZ) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Count the Shells 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Just Go With It 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 True Shipman 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Paid Holiday 4.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Pepe and Heywood 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bayano 3.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Pet’s Night 4.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 4:43
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3rd - 4:37
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3rd - 0:00
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3rd - 9:31
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3rd - 6:06
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3rd - 1:30
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3rd - 2:48
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3rd - 0:27
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4th - 15:00
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3rd - 8:14
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