September 25, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Argentic (FR) | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Weather Wiz | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Whistle | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tappahannock | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Bubble (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King’s Honor (IRE) | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Pots N Pans | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | South Sea | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flowmotion | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vincent Van Gogo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Walk Away Joe | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Artemus Bridge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Blue Danube | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Victory Given | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Victory Element | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Grumpelstiltskin | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Confusion Baby Boy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D C Fireman | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Keeping the Peace | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Championship Alley | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thief of Hearts | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roo La La | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag Lucky | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mick’sbestbetyet | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s All Courage | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prinecess Doir | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tuff But Fair | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Winston Pegg | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystical Man | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Benandjoe | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Fortune | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willing to Speed | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American d’Oro | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | English Tavern | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Torres Del Paine | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tyler Time | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jack of Hearts | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Houdini | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irishman | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corkman | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Giant | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Award Nominated | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Angry Man | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Emphasize | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Callyourightback | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nordic Rhythm | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Welshman | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Tradition | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Idea | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ballyhoo Prince | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nth Power | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tipyourhattothat | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lacco Ameno | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Its Mr Poppi to U | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kinsaler | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Stalker | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gentleman Joe | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Sir Colonel | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ink | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galatians | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Therisastormbrewin | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Armando R | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Celtic Treasure | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sassy King | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Tiz Mandate | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Brutus | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dream Big Dreams | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Romp | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Jammin Jimtown | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zeyaraat | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Canoe | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deciding Vote | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kiss the Girl | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Danger | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat’s Pajamas | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Babia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Elke Do Jaguarete (BRZ) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Count the Shells | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Go With It | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Shipman | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paid Holiday | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pepe and Heywood | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayano | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pet’s Night | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.