September 25, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mail Call | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Balboa’s Smile | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Peacearella | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Holiday Connection | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Karma Is Golden | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Artsy Nouveau | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Misspoken | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Hit a Homer Honey | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Ruby Dooby Doo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Bluegrass On Tap | 3.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sign of the Dove | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Event Party | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Master of the Ring | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prayer Book | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Jerome | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out of Towner | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royne | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Meister | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Licorice | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notorious Rey | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jaquavious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spirited Sol | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Urban Myth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Small Wonder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Murph | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intrepid Daydream | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mama G’s Wish | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cashing Big Checks | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Music Mandate | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s Cookin | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Tax Free Shopping Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dulce Kiara | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plane Drunk | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Beauty | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancer’s Melody | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madam Meena | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Lute | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alta Velocita | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Texas Reward | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Li’lbito’charm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – First State Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | No Sabe Nada | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rebel Empire | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All for Love | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vance Scholars | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Sandman | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Porsupuesto | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mercury Ten | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Somethingandchange | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Alex | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Under the Radar | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Dtha Governors Day H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Substantial | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Afoot | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Senior Investment | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honor the Fleet | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shane’s Jewel | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bal Harbour | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tappin Cat | 1.60 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crownedcountcristo | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Polterer | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Ferber | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ride Em | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arrivederla | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singlino | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fole’s Notion | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Where Paradise Lay | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kratos | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Centerfoldprospect | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Eddard Stark | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapping the Glass | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | I Am That I Am | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rocket Blast | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New Castle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aspect | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Threes Over Deuces | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Candy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Lake | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smithwick’s Spice | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Newyearsblockparty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tappin Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hopeful Treasure | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Band On Tour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – George Rosenberger Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 11 | Mike’s Girl | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Shifra Magician | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | B B’s Busted | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Blame Judy | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Izzybella | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good Life Cider | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sailingintothewind | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tonal Verse | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | La Babia | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Advocating | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tightly Twisted | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Willemina | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Niceno | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Scatrattleandroll | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Red Again | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Auld Lange Syne | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Moon Gate Warrior | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Marco Island | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bold Paynter | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Souper Fly Over | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Mice and Men | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Delightfullywicked | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flat Out Flashy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Aldo’s Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Act | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tap Dance Fever | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Baby Gundin | 9.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Tayler’s Chrome | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Air | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Love in Her Eyes | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Striking Chrome | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Dr. Ann | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Reward | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bodacious Blend | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.