September 25, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nest | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saffron Moon | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dover Dreams | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Pines | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anileate | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nostalgic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | My First Grammy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rocco Strong | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Striking Speed | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | F F Rocket | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Qian B C | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Life On Top | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Front Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Reckless Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Blue Lou Boyle (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Stanford (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Vincent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Somethingtotellyou | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Unleveraged | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seven Lilies | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Him She Kisses | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notorious Flirt | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On Our Way Boyz | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Trouble | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Return | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quickflash | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Kelso H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fort Peck | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Life Is Good | 0.11 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doubly Blessed | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chance It | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Informative | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Time Limit | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Address (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss J McKay | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gotta Go Mo | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kissing Frogs | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiple (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Gables | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Sexy | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hydra | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Secondary Market | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shesalittle Edgy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Overstep | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap’n de Bank | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thrill of It | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Samurai | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Asymmetric | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drosel Diem | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Last Mission | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocean’s Reserve | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Koosman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Zarkallani (FR) | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flop Shot (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Journeyman | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Opry | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Angelus Warrior | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Factor | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shamrocket | 2.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Price Talk | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | You’re to Blame | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Liveyourbeastlife | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Backsideofthemoon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zoomer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bramble Queen | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten by the Sea | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Platinum Paynter | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | In a Hurry | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Dracarys | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foxtail | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Amniarix | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Affair | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Una Luna | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hot Rod Rumble | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eddie the Great | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brady’s Legacy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unique Unions | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Lion in Zion | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pursuit of Justice | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bointheback | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devious Banker | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Who Hoo Thats Me | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Happy B | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Athenia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Made In Italy (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pocket Square (GB) | 0.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Lucerne | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Teheran (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stand for the Flag | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spice Is Nice | 0.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 13 | Live in Five | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sinfully Sweet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vivazano | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | U Should B Dancing | 2.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cinderella’s Cause | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Acushla | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Cali Fitz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Favorite Impulse | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Saratoga Gaze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | She’s the One | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Escapewithfriends | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Road to Remember | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Madame Rose | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Steppin’ Hawk | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.