Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 24, 2021

September 24, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Savvy’s Sister 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Bonnie Lee 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 J M R Bold Vision 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Onezy’s Dream 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Redhair N Freckles 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Pastel Emily 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Bring Da Fudge 3.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Words of Gold 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Verrazano Narrows 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Wasaga 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Hip to Your Tricks 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 According to Code 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Highland Jax 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Sir Grayvenscroft 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Summer Load 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Whizmo 15.00 5.6 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tiz Romantic 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Coltons Dream 1.40 4 8-1
6 6 View From Egbert 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mighty Pele 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sea Scout 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Bullet Speed 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Twice as Smart 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Knew as a Breeze 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Fancysoul 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Relentless Ruby 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Cocotara 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Gospel Hill 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Classy Gizmo 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Nice Company 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Jolene Jolene 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Practical Gizmo 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grand Gizmo 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Carrobio 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Verrazano Bridge 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 One Way to Win 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Saint’s Rest 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Right to Strike 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Son of My Father 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Doc Fishman 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Komunist 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Mopolka 2.00 3.8 7-1
10 6 Ami’s Link 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Crumlin Time 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 5 Tiz My Right 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 The Adrie Factor 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Cool Society 4.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Post to Post 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Desert Poem 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pluie d’Avril 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mizzona 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Candy’s Dream 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Text Me Up 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Bayou Belle 2.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Twisted Path 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Take Chargechristy 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Samurai Fighter 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Slydini 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Hanchy 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Matthaus 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tuscan Damsel 2.50 4 8-1
9 9 Tara Dawn 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Shanghai Kimmy 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Rolling Sloan 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Sararenda 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Misguided Passion 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Sadie Irene 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Sea Anna Dream 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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