Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 24, 2021

September 24, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Half Past Twelve 1.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Sally Stanford 1.60 2.6 5-1
4 3 Lilly Babe 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Allwinedup 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 98 We All Agree 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shardial 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Mayhem and Chaos 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Raisebeforetheflop 1.60 1.9 4-1
4 4 Here’s My Point 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Perfecto Amor 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Me Macho 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Marino Heat 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kristi’s Tiger 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Smoothlikebuttah 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Nice Ice 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Little Miss Ellie 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Warrior’s Moon 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Starship Defiant 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Sottocapo 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Suzie Qzz Brother 2.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Crash Corrigan 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Head for Business 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Zero Down 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Pick Your Bid 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Devil Be Me 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Moon Circumference 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 98 Pyeong Chang 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rev Rita 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Miss Fia 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Queengol 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Founder’s Day 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Liv and Let Liv 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Malibu Mistress 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Full Draw 0.60 1.5 3-1
3 3 Salah 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Silent Musketier 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Capper 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 He Be Dangerous 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Cibertruck 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 W. Whitehouse 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Lucky Spell S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ginja 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Forest Caraway 1.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 Livingmybestlife 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Pizzazz 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Stella Noir 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Back Beauty 2.50 2 4-1
8 7 Maggie’s Magic 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Darling Demon 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 2 Stradari 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Street Flyer 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Island Life 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Durga 15.00 7.7 14-1
6 5 Thanks 15.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Season to Remember 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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