Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 23, 2021

September 23, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Greatest Glory 2.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Look Up to Heaven 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Kingston Queen 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Stellarator 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Ala Turka 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Mudshaft 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Sweetcandyfactory 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lady Younes 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Uncaptured Faith 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Real Doozie 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Jost Sayin 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Grace’s Drama 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Dana Grace 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 She Takes Heart 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Levy Land 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 High Speed Stef 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Alecka Star 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Grand Ave Girl 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Happy Success 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Future Flay 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Magna Colors 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 My Little Nany 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Piper 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 R Love On the Run 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 World Gone Wild 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Vivi’s Dream’s 4.50 5 9-1
10 10 Pretzel 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Viva La Reina 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Gregs Posse 30.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Bahamian Rhapsody 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Capturini 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Miss Lamarr 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Perfect Provision 1.80 1.5 3-1
4 4 Wandering 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Thataint Tooshabby 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Love Her Lots 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Kelly Bag 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Vintage Girl 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Madeforsummer 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Secret Melody 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hillbilly 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 7 Bye Bye David 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 High Press 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Lord Darnley 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 He Ain’t No Saint 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 Super Triple 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 4 Johnnie Got Jets 30.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Star Deputy 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Backchat 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mizzen 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Race Day Speed 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Appointed 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 High Glory 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Sweet Penelope 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Battle Cry 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Perfect Kimberly S 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Karatbars 20.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Bronx 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 2 Abhar 8.00 4.8 9-1
11 6 Admiral Truffles 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 3 Big Red Style 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 4 Fortified 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Cheval Dore 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vicmar 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Can’t Be Broken 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Asymptomatic (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Heals the Soul 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Smooth Music 5.00 SCRATCH
10 5 Luca Drew the Ace 30.00 10.1 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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