Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 23, 2021

September 23, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dontforgettoblink 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Valiant Gabe 3.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Instant Chaos 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Coatandtierequired 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Nato 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Shed a Tear 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Captured Dreams 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sacred Union 1.80 2.1 4-1
1 1 Song of Honor 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Mineshaft Magic 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Marketability 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Wonder City 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Nakibeya 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Rich’s Way 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Courvoisier 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Bold Medication 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 4 Eloquist 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Bossman Jones 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Miss Invincible 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 7 Sterling Hill 10.00 8.2 16-1
1A 6 Dangnabbit 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mortal Storm 1.80 2.4 4-1
1 1 Canoochee 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 4 Fairy Wish 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 6 Special Risk 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 5 Chit Chat Girl 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 7 Square Peg 8.00 7.4 14-1
1A 3 What About Tonight 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Shot Time 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Arlo Bello 5.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Prince of Portland 4.00 4.7 9-1
1A 13 Riverland 10.00 8.1 15-1
5 4 Epic Starter 10.00 8.4 16-1
8 7 Palace King 10.00 8.6 16-1
7 6 Braces 12.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Reel Well 10.00 SCRATCH
2B 14 Wine to Roses 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Merokee 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Temple Owl Liam 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Don’tmakeazeen 10.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Maybe It’s Time 15.00 13.1 25-1
2 9 Sweet Dreams Babe 15.00 13.6 26-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Load Up Moe 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Muchacho Macho 4.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 End All Get All 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Jammin Still 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Ingreido 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 True Grace 10.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Shoulda Had It 10.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Yondering 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Confirmed Genius 1.60 1.6 3-1
10 10 Caira 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Intrepid Dream 6.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Forever Dreaming 4.50 6.4 12-1
7 7 Inanna’s Quest 12.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Sally’s Mustang 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Stir Crazy 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 My Little Rosy 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Takingtimeoff 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Traffic Song 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Minding Millie 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Woodbine Way 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 That Is Key 15.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Offlee Graysful 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Emme Roo 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Cocktails At Eight 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Normalizeddeviance 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Cool Stance 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 All the Way Mae 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Bad Temper 10.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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