September 23, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dontforgettoblink | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Gabe | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Instant Chaos | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coatandtierequired | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nato | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shed a Tear | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captured Dreams | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sacred Union | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Song of Honor | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mineshaft Magic | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marketability | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wonder City | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nakibeya | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Rich’s Way | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Courvoisier | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Medication | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Eloquist | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bossman Jones | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Invincible | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Sterling Hill | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Dangnabbit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mortal Storm | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canoochee | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Fairy Wish | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Special Risk | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Chit Chat Girl | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Square Peg | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | What About Tonight | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Shot Time | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arlo Bello | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prince of Portland | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Riverland | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Epic Starter | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Palace King | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Braces | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reel Well | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 14 | Wine to Roses | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Merokee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Temple Owl Liam | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Don’tmakeazeen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Maybe It’s Time | 15.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 2 | 9 | Sweet Dreams Babe | 15.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Load Up Moe | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muchacho Macho | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | End All Get All | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jammin Still | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ingreido | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Grace | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shoulda Had It | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yondering | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Confirmed Genius | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caira | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Intrepid Dream | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forever Dreaming | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inanna’s Quest | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sally’s Mustang | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stir Crazy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Little Rosy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Takingtimeoff | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Traffic Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Minding Millie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Woodbine Way | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | That Is Key | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Offlee Graysful | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emme Roo | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cocktails At Eight | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Normalizeddeviance | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Stance | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All the Way Mae | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Temper | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.