Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 20, 2021

September 20, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jess Southard 1.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Moonflash Ocean 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Brimmertons Benelli 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Bv Yesterdays Wine 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Sweeet Tea 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Maybe a Dynasty 8.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lil Sister 1.40 1.2 2-1
3 3 Big N Rick 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Vals Sizzling Lips 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Lokke Louie 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Villegas La Capo 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Rmjennas Prety Lady 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Fly Ivory Fly 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Lil Private Wagon 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tres Springs 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Dupliciti 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Trig 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Red Lips Wagon 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Jess Ride My Wagon 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Nsm Parks Candy Girl 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Trishas Hero 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Breitling Dynasty 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ministry of Art 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 My Boaz 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bottomless 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Mohawk Leonard 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Mary’s Boy 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Roger P 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Campfire Tales 1.60 1.6 3-1
1 1 Game to Play 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Palette 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Ships Jewel 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Her Way Or No Way 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Girolamo Lucy 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Daahers Bully 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 5 Blacktop Legend 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Royally Handsome 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Matchlock 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Rebounder 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Silver and Aces 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 4 Gio Nasty One 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Boo Be Right 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Monday Confession 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ragatagtag 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 3 Ransomed 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Runfastandloud 4.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Mulberry 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Run Some Koppy’s 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Ready to Get Loud 6.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Say It Nicely 1.20 1.2 2-1
5 5 Oscar Winner Wally 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Redneckerthanyou 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 War Ron 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mafia Don 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 New Gospel 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magic in a Hat 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Spilled Perfume 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Seattle Bay 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Dianna’s Jet 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Angel Arkie 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Aquatica 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Jitters 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 What Now My Love 20.00 6.4 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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3rd - 9:11
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3rd - 10:38
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3rd - 13:25
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3rd - 10:02
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