Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 19, 2021

September 19, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brimage 1.80 1.1 2-1
2 2 Set the Tone 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Miss Reno 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Sip Sip Hooray 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Assunta 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Finglas Lad 1.20 1.7 3-1
2 2 La’och Aloysius 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Medina Man 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Cortezano 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Explain This Audit 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Chasing Alchemy 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vetoed 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Midnight Somewhere 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Sumo 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Disco Ball 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Nothngoodcomseasy 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sabuda 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Honor Among Men 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Palaleo 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Half Right 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Chasing Fame 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Squalotoro 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Rayray 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Suances Secret 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Magic On Tap 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Bold Endeavor 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Leading Score 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Border Town 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Manhattan Up 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Sash (GB) 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Secret Square 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 3 Perfect Ice Storm 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 4 Gotta Be Lucky 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Mongolian Window 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Chollima 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Promnesia 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cowboys Daughter 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Fi Fi Pharoah 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 6 Loud Loud Music 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Cover Version 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Frose 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Tizno’s Dilemma 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dark Mirage S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Paige Anne 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Samurai Charm 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Velvet Slippers 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Harper’s Gallop 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Candura 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Big Sweep 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ronamo 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Phantom Dance 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Rookie Year 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 C Falls 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Next Revolt 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Club Cal 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Gov From Above 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Mongolian Legend 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 General Mathis 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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