Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 18, 2021

September 18, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eye of the Temple 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Anythingbutsubtle 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Frosty Warrior 4.50 3.7 7-1
13 13 Drinksonthebeach 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Takemyshot 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Just So Ya Know 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 El Rosillo 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Principe 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Classic Film 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 The Dungeon 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Linguini 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Raising Moon 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Poetic Code 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ms Big Spring 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Include the Beast 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dahlonega 1.20 3.7 7-1
7 7 Fiery Princess 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Rain 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Distinctly Blue 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Salsa Rita 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gone Nuts 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Hoorayhoorayhooray 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Captain Sensible 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 The Green Crusader 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Sun Viking 30.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Poseidon’s Son 30.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 October Time 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Last Second Louie 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Impetuous Soul 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Machinegunpreacher 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Neophyte 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 La Cumparsita 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Awesome Apeal 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Folk Hero 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 She Is Royalty 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Miss Beth’el 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Current Cause 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Miss Goodie Goodie 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Flash Dear 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Armed Forces S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Credibility 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Eldon’s Prince 2.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Night Jumper 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Golden Juan 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Gilligan 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 No Nay Franklin (IRE) 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Eternal Rest 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 T Ville 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Southern Breeze 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 C My Meister 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Citizen West 1.40 3.7 7-1
7 7 Dr. Roger 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Doo Wop Don 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Carrots Or Carats 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Full Send 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Trinni John 12.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Special Meister 20.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Bottom Deck 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Luca Drew the Ace 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bronx 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Master Q 20.00 10.7 20-1
9 9 Royal Biz 20.00 11 21-1
12 12 Heaven’s Tale 30.00 11.2 21-1
2 2 Blame Charlie 30.00 12.1 23-1
10 10 A P Rock 30.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 4 Brett’s World 3.00 2.6 5-1
12 6 Khocu 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 5 Big City Red 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Gunman 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Our Stuie 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Kleon 30.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Holy Meister 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Braccio Di Ferro 1.40 SCRATCH
6 6 Al Hilal 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Finding Mischief 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Traceability 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Farm Boy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Guaco 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Mony 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Sea Trident 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Union Gap 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Starship Taxi 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Captured by Fate 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 First Navy Admiral 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Poseiden 15.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Our Dear Peggy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Diamond Wow 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Harper Be Good 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Challenge Princess 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Queen Camilla 4.50 5.7 11-1
7 7 David’s Rose 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Up Her Sleeve 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mollies Hope 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Saturday Nite Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Eiswein 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Papetu 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Flamingo Hawk 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 My Mane Man 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Poppy’s Pride 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Lauda Speed 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Emperor’s Cause 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Rabdan 10.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Divert 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Kiger 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Hierro 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Shanghai Ronnie 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 4 Khozando 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Greyzer 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 6 Miami Chrome 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Uncle Pip 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Small Reason 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Joyful Surprise 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Poseidons Myth 15.00 6 11-1
14 14 Star Deputy 20.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Tutankhamunatcha 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Luvnmesumcajun 30.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 William Boy 30.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Authentic Heart 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sette Stelle 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mauro’s Team 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Campeador 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Sweeney’s Cat 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Billy Bones 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Warp Speed Baby 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Frozen Assets 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 He Ain’t No Saint 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Highjump Charlie 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 0:41
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2nd - 0:13
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2nd - 0:01
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2nd - 2:38
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2nd - 2:10
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Halftime
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2nd - 0:49
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Halftime
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Halftime
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2nd - 3:01
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