Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 16, 2021

September 16, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silent Ghost 2.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Poolside Manners 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Infinite Passion 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tally Road 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Its a Birdie 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Shazeen 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Zip It 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Keen Samurai 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Ju Jitsu Cat 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Forehead Fred 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Spanish Major 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Longandshortofit 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Frac Attack 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Valuable Pillow 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Dark Ale 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Northern Cross 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Stormy Vision 2.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 D’s Soul 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Joy’s Solution 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Queen Andher Court 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 La Bonita 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 San Nicola Star 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Silent Mamba 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Echo in the Forest 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Alternative View 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Wide Awake 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Queen Beach 3.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Super Leggera 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Kentucky Fan 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mia At Midnight 10.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Penetanguishene 6.00 6 11-1
9 9 Sweet Shades 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Ivy’s Star 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Storm Gauge 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Classy Mistress 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jungle Goddess 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Naitaka 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Out Atthe Speedway 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Georgian Dancer 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 For My Elbi 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Shuddacuddawudda 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Go Gigi Go Gigi Go 12.00 5 10-1
5 5 Elite Song 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Later Gator 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kerics Beauty 2.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Thatnightintoronto 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Divine Genesis 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 No More Fences 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sky of Dreams 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Theskyisthelimit 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Total Betty 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Rosa Villosa 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Golden Garter 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Silent Respect 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sparkle Sammy 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Miss Savvy 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Veil 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Grateful Praise 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Anita Grigio 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forest Falcon 5.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Ms. P’s Bella 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Elusive Gem 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Musically Inclined 3.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Baby Driver 6.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Drumgreenaghbridge 10.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Aliyah’s Action 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 A Bit of Sunshine 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Everyminitevryhour 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Federal Court 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Dynamic Contrast 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Sonja’s Joy 20.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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