Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 16, 2021

September 16, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Maggie Moo 1.60 1.3 2-1
4 4 Sugar Snap 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Like Nowhere Else (IRE) 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Fortes 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Runaway Monet 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Union Tatters 8.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Chica 15.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Chromeplated Heart 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Not My Money 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Miss Marley 30.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Pretty Lori 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Polished Gal 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Catching the Wind 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Hope Has a Name 10.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Snow Forecast 6.00 8 15-1
3 3 Golden Can 3.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Behind the Couch 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 On the Lam 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Honorable Service 10.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Bahama Channel 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Phantom Ro 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Kingston Pike 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 New Frontier 1.60 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Argentic (FR) 10.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Ludicrous Mode 15.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Minister’s Strike 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Ahsad 20.00 3 6-1
2 2 Speed Game 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Gunslinger (IRE) 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Posterity 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Rockstar Girl 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Fed Up Fired Up 6.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Makes Mo Cents 5.00 10.7 20-1
4 4 Lucky Ramsey 4.00 11.4 22-1
12 12 Crazy Kater 8.00 11.9 22-1
13 13 D’craziness 2.50 11.9 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Celtic Sun 15.00 2 4-1
5 5 No Money Down 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bet On Bitz 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Jump Free 4.50 5.7 11-1
7 7 Will Take Profit 4.00 6 11-1
3 3 Scaredy Cat 3.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Dontcrossfuzzy 3.50 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heliacal Rising 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Petite Rouge 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lady Prowess 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Cecilita 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Time Goes Fast 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Ten Twenty One 8.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Amazon Queen 6.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Louella Street 6.00 10 19-1
15 15 Clouds of White 6.00 10 19-1
8 8 Wasser 5.00 10.7 20-1
16 16 Golden Belief 4.50 12.5 24-1
11 11 She’s Like Thunder 4.50 12.6 24-1
12 12 Little Bit of That 3.50 12.7 24-1
13 13 Determined Charm 3.00 13.1 25-1
14 14 Pearl Earring 2.00 13.6 26-1
4 4 Princess Teruko 2.50 13.7 26-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dynamic Day 30.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Sing a Verse 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Gator Fifty Two 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Golden G 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Golazo 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 New York One 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 El Rojo 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Keepyourguardup 4.50 7.4 14-1
7 7 Sam and Sy 10.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 More Twirl 8.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Natty Beau 8.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Decorated 4.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Antipoison 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Monster Mason 30.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Beltway Bob 20.00 3 6-1
10 10 Elementary 12.00 4 8-1
11 11 Depository 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Market Mover 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Benny Havens 5.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Beach Traffic 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Welling 1.40 9 17-1
2 2 Dream Big Dreams 2.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Broker’s Reward 2.50 10.7 20-1
5 5 My Boy Paddy 4.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Whiskey and Rye 5.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Tara’s Talent 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Bunting 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Margie’s Heaven 1.80 3.1 6-1
5 5 My Lovely Girl 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Mischiefs Model 4.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flava’s Dream 15.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Ordinary Girl 15.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Digital Dream 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Our Strong Vows 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Minnetonka 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Tapdancing Girl 6.00 6 11-1
10 10 Live Aid 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Crystalology 3.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Defy Expectations 2.00 9 17-1
1 1 Castilleja 6.00 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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