September 16, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Maggie Moo | 1.60 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Snap | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Like Nowhere Else (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fortes | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Monet | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Tatters | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast Chica | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chromeplated Heart | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Marley | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Lori | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catching the Wind | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not My Money | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hope Has a Name | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polished Gal | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Can | 3.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snow Forecast | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Behind the Couch | 4.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | On the Lam | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honorable Service | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bahama Channel | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Ro | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingston Pike | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Frontier | 1.60 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Argentic (FR) | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ludicrous Mode | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Game | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minister’s Strike | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Posterity | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fed Up Fired Up | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Makes Mo Cents | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rockstar Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ahsad | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | D’craziness | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crazy Kater | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Ramsey | 4.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Sun | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet On Bitz | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jump Free | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Will Take Profit | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scaredy Cat | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontcrossfuzzy | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Money Down | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Petite Rouge | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Prowess | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cecilita | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Time Goes Fast | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Twenty One | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amazon Queen | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heliacal Rising | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Princess Teruko | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Determined Charm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pearl Earring | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Clouds of White | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Golden Belief | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Louella Street | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wasser | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Little Bit of That | 3.50 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s Like Thunder | 4.50 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dynamic Day | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sing a Verse | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gator Fifty Two | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden G | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golazo | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New York One | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Rojo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keepyourguardup | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sam and Sy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Twirl | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Natty Beau | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Decorated | 4.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Antipoison | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monster Mason | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beltway Bob | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Elementary | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Depository | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Market Mover | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Benny Havens | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beach Traffic | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Big Dreams | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Welling | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Broker’s Reward | 2.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Boy Paddy | 4.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey and Rye | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tara’s Talent | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margie’s Heaven | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bunting | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Lovely Girl | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischiefs Model | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flava’s Dream | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ordinary Girl | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Strong Vows | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Minnetonka | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapdancing Girl | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crystalology | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Defy Expectations | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Castilleja | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Digital Dream | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Live Aid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.