Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 16, 2021

September 16, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Scotty Silver 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Leme At Em 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Marsac 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 My Candy Biz 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Mega Millions 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Offlee Graysful 0.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Kats in Charge 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Dora Jones 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Miss Jasser 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Grand Entrada 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Monkey On My Back 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hey Babe 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sailor’s Salute 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Estilo Elegante 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tak E Lady 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Bay B 8.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 My Girl Blue 6.00 6 11-1
6 6 Farcical 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Home by Seven 10.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Reawakened 15.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 Thirsty Boots 20.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Jordin’s Surprise 20.00 11.7 22-1
9 9 Hot Nail 20.00 12 23-1
11 11 La Smarty 20.00 12.2 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rag Top 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Sweet Blame 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Nana’s Shoes 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Inedatequila 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Car Lady 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Carmeltini 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Tink 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Law of the Land 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Samui Sunset 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Borgobythesea 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Alonzo Mosely 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Love Life 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Georgia Pines 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 My Freedom 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Couch Dreams 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Still the One 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Free to Fly 1.20 1.2 2-1
4 4 Donnybrook Girl 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Kashan 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 My Best Friend 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Congratsrosy 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Thea’s Theme 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Captivating Gal 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Striking It Lucky 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Ready Reward 5.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Paint Music for Me 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Nicky Bear 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Galilean Moon 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Declared 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Damir 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Bulldog Connection 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Fortyeightstraight 15.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Imaginethejoy 15.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chica Rabiosa 1.80 1.9 4-1
6 7 Cabra Chica 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Show’em Who’s Boss 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 She’s a Big Deal 8.00 5.1 10-1
1A 6 Six o’Clock Sarah 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 2 No More Mask 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Bon Fire Diva 8.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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