September 16, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scotty Silver | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leme At Em | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marsac | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mega Millions | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Candy Biz | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Offlee Graysful | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kats in Charge | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dora Jones | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Jasser | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Entrada | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monkey On My Back | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sailor’s Salute | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Babe | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Estilo Elegante | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Farcical | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Home by Seven | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reawakened | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tak E Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bay B | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hot Nail | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Girl Blue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thirsty Boots | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jordin’s Surprise | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La Smarty | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Blame | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rag Top | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nana’s Shoes | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inedatequila | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Car Lady | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carmeltini | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tink | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Law of the Land | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Samui Sunset | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Borgobythesea | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alonzo Mosely | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Georgia Pines | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Love Life | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Freedom | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Still the One | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Couch Dreams | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Free to Fly | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Donnybrook Girl | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kashan | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Thea’s Theme | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captivating Gal | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Congratsrosy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Best Friend | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ready Reward | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Striking It Lucky | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nicky Bear | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galilean Moon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Declared | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Damir | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bulldog Connection | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortyeightstraight | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imaginethejoy | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paint Music for Me | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Chica Rabiosa | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cabra Chica | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Show’em Who’s Boss | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | She’s a Big Deal | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Six o’Clock Sarah | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bon Fire Diva | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | No More Mask | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.