Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 15, 2021

September 15, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss Star Lo 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Mrs. Crews 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Bryce’s Philly 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bow Town Cat 1.80 2.9 5-1
3 3 Fleeterthan 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Towson 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 La Purissima 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Make Or Break 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 New Jersey 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mani Pedi 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Connoisseur 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Hara 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Lil Tater 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Boca Royalty 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Lulinda’s Heart 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Anginetti 10.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Reigning Fire 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Cougar Vision 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Blitchton Lady 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Best Secrets Kept 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Originaly From Dot 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Brazilian Bay 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Quiet Please 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shes Euphoric 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Barn Queen 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Our West Indy 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Secret Zar 1.60 3.6 7-1
2 2 Almost Evil 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Just a Dream 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Ragazza Carina 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Oui Madame 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ardean 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 4 Halligirl 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 2 Snappy Ride 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 5 Princess Emma Jo 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Fly Fly Bird 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Irie Empress 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Be Water 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Amanjena 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Wicked Strong Alex 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Tiz Valentino Daze 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Wye Mumbo 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Warrant Officer 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Yes for Less 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Yondering 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Epigrammatist 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Piggybank 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chargin Storm 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 7 American Ninja 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 5 Mt Suribachi 3.00 5 9-1
11 8 Nileator 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 Dramatized 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 The Want of a Nail 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Hay Boy 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Rated Special 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Grit and Glory 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tomater Gator 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Roan Mountain 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Kowboy Karma 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Champers 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Long May You Run 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Kadens Courage 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Jump Shot 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Hard West 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Puttheglassdown 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Five More Minutes 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Off Duty 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Bellarmine Hall 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Sound the Charge 6.00 4.1 8-1
12 10 Mean Machine 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Saint Marco 4.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Atta Kid 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Heros Reward 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Over Sensual 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Lease 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Rebel Traveller 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Judicial Restraint 20.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 The Jones Boy 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Risque Rebel 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flat Out Flashy 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ash of My Enemy 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Scoop Dawg 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Maradona 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Musk 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Prefontaine 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 E T’s Super Star 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Austin Whylie 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Go Skippy Go 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Prince Champ 15.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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