September 15, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Star Lo | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Crews | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bryce’s Philly | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bow Town Cat | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fleeterthan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Towson | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Purissima | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Make Or Break | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | New Jersey | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mani Pedi | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connoisseur | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hara | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Tater | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boca Royalty | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lulinda’s Heart | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anginetti | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Reigning Fire | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cougar Vision | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blitchton Lady | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Best Secrets Kept | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Originaly From Dot | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brazilian Bay | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Please | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shes Euphoric | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barn Queen | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our West Indy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Zar | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Almost Evil | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just a Dream | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ragazza Carina | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oui Madame | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ardean | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Halligirl | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Snappy Ride | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Princess Emma Jo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fly Fly Bird | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irie Empress | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Be Water | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Amanjena | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Strong Alex | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Valentino Daze | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wye Mumbo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrant Officer | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes for Less | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yondering | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Epigrammatist | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Piggybank | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chargin Storm | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | American Ninja | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mt Suribachi | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Nileator | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dramatized | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Want of a Nail | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Boy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rated Special | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grit and Glory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tomater Gator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Roan Mountain | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Kowboy Karma | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Champers | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long May You Run | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kadens Courage | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jump Shot | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hard West | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Puttheglassdown | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Five More Minutes | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Off Duty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Bellarmine Hall | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sound the Charge | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Mean Machine | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saint Marco | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atta Kid | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heros Reward | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Over Sensual | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lease | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rebel Traveller | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Judicial Restraint | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Jones Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Risque Rebel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flat Out Flashy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ash of My Enemy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scoop Dawg | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maradona | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Musk | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prefontaine | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | E T’s Super Star | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Austin Whylie | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Skippy Go | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Champ | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.