Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 12, 2021

September 12, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mashhad Flats 1.60 1.3 2-1
1 1 Commissioner David 1.40 1.6 3-1
5 5 Even Steven 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mesa Empire 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 After the Candy 10.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Misawa 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Gordy’s Boy 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Rich Warrior 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Straus’s Place 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Silver Kid 6.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Catfish Charlie 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Girona 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Showmethemagic 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Darling Demon 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Stradari 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Street Flyer 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Sea Glass 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gates of Heaven 1.40 1.4 3-1
4 4 Nichiren 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Stir the Pot 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 The Beat 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Afternoon Heat 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Simmer Down 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Gayles Evening 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Frisco Frills 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Malibu Mistress 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Later Days 8.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thirsty Chapo 1.80 1.2 2-1
5 5 I Know Cash Flow 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Curling Secret 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Tee Shot 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Big Swede 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Gemini Bay 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Real Pouch 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Paulas Cause 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Street Behavior 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Question Authority 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 6 Whatsittoya 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Typhoon Harry 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Upper Room 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Palace Prince 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – E.b. Johnston S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Galilean 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Desmond Doss 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Loud Mouth 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Big Fish 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Peaceful Transfer 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Tom’s Surprise 6.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Whisky My God (ARG) 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Equipo A 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dapper 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Mr. Clutch 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Pedro Perez 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Calder Vale 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Deputy Gary 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 W. Whitehouse 20.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 6:04
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3rd - 9:19
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3rd - 5:35
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3rd - 12:23
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3rd - 8:45
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3rd - 4:31
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3rd - 7:27
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3rd - 5:02
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3rd - 3:14
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Halftime
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