September 12, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Proudly Elegant | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Willow Drive | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abby Normal | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fudge Cake | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Megalomania | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shyla Girl | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Babe | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Americas Woman | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Likely Choice | 4.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Green Eyes | 3.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Classy | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amen Corner | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Times | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greek Prince | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glengar | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack Bo | 1.40 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Extra Medium | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mint Game | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tale of Dixie | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stringfella | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lost My Vowcher | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Resident Liberal | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sir Lenny | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daddy’s Cozy | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Officer Country | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Make a Stand | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Coral Legacy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Survey (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tankerville | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Itsknownasthebern | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Maryland Pride | 4.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 5.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Torres Del Paine | 2.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bellatora | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Betty | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Veryan | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot to Party | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sara Plain N Tall | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C Two | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arbela | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bobbini | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Notion Interruptus | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Torch Carrier | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Can I Ever | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Star of Normandy | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chico Con Alex | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | House Impeachment | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vlajko | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Counting | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Creative Storm | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bridge of Hope | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Most Wanted | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wonderville | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Super Scooby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tradition | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cup Match | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gandolfo | 3.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jestful | 4.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rippolino | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Tower | 6.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fleetridge | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Sizzling Time | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Armando R | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be Yourself | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | B Determined | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chao | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real Factor | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Takafumi (BRZ) | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kartano | 1.80 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Padre | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ms Headley | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backstreet Gal | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Millie Child | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buckey’s Charm | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My My Girl | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Edgy | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonsafe | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | See That Girl | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peace Out | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rona | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Birthday Wish | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Watch Me Disappear | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kelly Green | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Bosconovitch | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunshineanrainbows | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twelveo’clockrock | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Away to Return | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miranda’s Desmond | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Melody | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.