September 11, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kanta | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aubrieta | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spooky Spice | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distorted Success | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spice in Yuh Life | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marie MacKay | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Veri Unified | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Choir | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Admiring | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sundar | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Moonshine | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karakontieparadise | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itskathiesluckyday | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gwen | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reciprocal | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Seagram Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Another Mystery | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Forces | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Heart | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap It to Win | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolder Grand | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cleomenes | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Con Thien | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spin That Tune | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Momma Carrie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Green Gables | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shes the North | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ashbury | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shez a Sealy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Umneyaat | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Lannister | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Forester | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taquanyah | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | James Bay | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chasing Vinny | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Race for Pinks | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Crafty Conquest | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Executive Holiday | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bokermin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maximus Momentus | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | De Only Solution | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canola World | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silent Fire | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Colonel | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Best and Final | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Verrazano Narrows | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Steel Wool | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Doc Fishman | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mr. Magical | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Regal Intent | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Milwaukee Fibolt | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Carrobio | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tourist’s Dream | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Vice Regent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Not So Quiet | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Celebratory | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Circle of Friends | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forester’s Fortune | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City Boy | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Hot | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alacritous | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockcrest | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Over | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Watson | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bode’s Tipsy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holyfield | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unilateral | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finalist | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Road to Romance | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scatter the Clouds | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rakasa | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take It Easy | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Soul | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fedalia | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Coal | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Systemic Risk | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Melrose Star | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Hill | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fionnuala | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Billyjane | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bosskaye | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Silver Heights | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Careless Heiress | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden World | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Silenzio | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I’m Not Perfect | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jolie Davina | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tenpenny Nail | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Know How (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Knew as a Breeze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.