September 11, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blind Eye | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Strategy | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merlin | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harry’s Onthebeach | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hashtag No Wonder | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eye On the Candy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast N Steady | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Sir | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Road | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Creative Kid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guaco | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excalibur | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nimble Beast | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Envoy | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prospect Project | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fitz’s Mo | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power (BRZ) | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Turn Johnny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strategy Queen | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Susans Novela | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chess Not Checkers | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rapturous | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tora Lora Lora | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Trouble | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ur Makin Me Blush | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Affair | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bronx | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tintorero | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Congrats Again | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Luvnmesumcajun | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fun Loaded | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dalio | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nona Rac | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven On Sunday | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pacific Legend | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Linguist | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Summering | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kahiko | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo of the West | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kelsey’s Cross | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Passion Plus | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jabuticaba | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onyx | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Brother | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silverly Enough | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Front Loaded | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | With Verve | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breeze On By | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Septemberten | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gump | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ventriloquist | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Free Data | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rivercrest Road | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chica Boom | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maria’s Revenge | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love My Job | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Too | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Walks Like a Lady | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gilded Asset | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magna Colors | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forbidden Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tone Feelin | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Treasure Run | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Bros | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spend Benjamins | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jupiter Blues | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poco Charlie | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mista Donzella | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shakem N Breakem | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Andrew the Bull | 50.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Break Beat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Diligent | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | R Big G | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birdnote | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Rum Runner | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spuntacular | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thousand Letters | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cassidys Gold | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rojo Toro | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Mar | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hammer D | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Captain Ron | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Virginian | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Discreet Tune | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Graceful Kitten | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Oz | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nitro Time | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Tingles | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Weaver | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Brother | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sheer Drama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sound Machine | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heiressall | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bramble Berry | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sonar | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thissmytime | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Nala | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Bonita | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Get Khozy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Marisa’s Mission | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catching Fish | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Montana Man | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uno Tiger | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Axel | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Famous Gent | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kick in the Gas | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Converter | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unimpeached | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Al Hilal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big City Red | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Khozando | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Freelance | 20.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.