Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 9, 2021

September 9, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Happy Back 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Whiskeyonhislips 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Wild Irishman 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Pork Chop 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Wildcat Echo 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Creative Magic 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Capture Mi 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Laynes Knight 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 One More Score 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Munger 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Laniakea Storm 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Veiled Prophet 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Divine Connection 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Soul Flight 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Jo Jo a Go Go 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Wildcat Star 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Dignified 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Makin It Look Easy 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kourvoisier (IRE) 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Livin At the Beach 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Lady Cloverly 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Sylvanella 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Hoity Toity 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 My Masterpiece 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Simonela 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 K’s Running Free 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Gran Reserva 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cagua 4.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Uncaptured Faith 6.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Kumandra 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mila 5.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Look Up to Heaven 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Elisa’s Song 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sweetcandyfactory 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Oodles On Fire 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Lady Younes 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Tsayonara Slew 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Ivy Way 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cozy Cafe 1.60 2 4-1
1 1 Acting Lucky 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Kitty Kitty 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Goodbye Gaby 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Sheza Happy Girl 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Miss Italy 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Don’t Lose Hope 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Thenorthremembers 4.00 3.2 6-1
11 7 Buenisimo 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Exponential 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Thorn 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 No Getting Over Me 8.00 4 8-1
9 6 South Pointe Drive 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Colonel Jackson 30.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Braccio Di Ferro 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Grand Wiser 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Big Thorn 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Converter 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bailey 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 American Prince 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Gatsby 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 The Distractor 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Democracy 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Speargun 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Destiny 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Bahamian Moon 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Daddy’s Joy 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 7 Beauty Queen 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 La Cara Bonita 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Charlotte the Brit 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Henni Penny 15.00 8.2 15-1
9 8 Happy Loudon 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Yellen 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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