September 9, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Event Party | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chirality | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Ron | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Guapo | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Doom | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Delightfullywicked | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ingreido | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shoulda Had It | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | And Seek | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commander’s Intent | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Exception | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 9 | Hold That Ghost | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brummagem | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hit a Homer Honey | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Tiny Dancer | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | High Frontier | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Painted Love | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | La Meca | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Pergola | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 13 | Chalk Hill | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Fade | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Don’tmakeazeen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | She’s Mizzen Bags | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Petite Rouge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Debbie’s Treasure | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | A Toast to Kay | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clarist | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Pal | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stop Talking | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bee’snbee’s | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creative Alibi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 4 | Blame the Gods | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Destinique | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Joanie’s Sunset | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Texas Reward | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Little Rosy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Talks in Her Sleep | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Tiz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Princess Adira | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Spin Your Partner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Under the Radar | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shot Time | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vance Scholars | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nato | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shed a Tear | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Witty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten Magic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miami Crockett | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pascal Chant | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Showtime Cat | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocket Blast | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fizbo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Roamie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Xmasinthecity | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fearless Fly | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hay Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Any Sugar Honey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy the Kid | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tate | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapsasional | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Indian | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tapping the Glass | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judicial Mandate | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Catirusia | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joyce G. | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | La Smarty | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Normalizeddeviance | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Emme Roo | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miami Gold | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dora Jones | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mizshipman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.