September 8, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Special Freedom | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steely Band | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gavichi | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Burrito | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | How Lucky | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapidamente | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamanytime | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Load Up Moe | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commissioner G | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not Invented Here | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tithed | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Freedom | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hacker Man | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forefront | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Red Hot and Blue | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frosteria | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Indian Heart | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Normal | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Coins | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Potion | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bellswillberinging | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Babe | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cocktails At Eight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Marketability | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atlantic Princess | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Melodious Singer | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mikey’s Jewel | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Will Take Roses | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Square Peg | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spectacular Now | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Belmullet | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smitten Enough | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hercules Harbor | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hail Southern | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oxbow Pioneer | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Polo | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Luke | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Callisto | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Crack the Safe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Big Tall Dawg | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Damir | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Still the One | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Flying | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit the Ticket | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Enough | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marco Island | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tangled Web | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runner Runner Indy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Puppymonkeybaby | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fast Lani | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Golden Can | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Cindy’s Prayer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Glittering Judy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kashan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Donnybrook Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Pal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mundle of Joy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cultural Mandate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Congratsrosy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dulce Kiara | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cause I Said | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | War Ballad | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tap Dance Fever | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confirmed Genius | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | The Aurelia Factor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Lucky Aces | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cooke Creek | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smarthumor | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bold Medication | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Only Child | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grumley | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sterling Hill | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spikezone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten Magic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.