Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 6, 2021

September 6, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Equal Pay 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Big City Momma 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Someday Maybe 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 I’m Perfect Too 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mun Luv 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Venus Oyzo 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Superbloodwolfmoon 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Belarus 2.50 1.5 3-1
1A 7 Adversity 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 4 Carbon 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 8 Call Sign Charlie 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Caragate 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Chiara 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 The Honorable Ruth 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sedona Rocks 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 9 Kisses for Emily 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bernard Baruch H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 L’Imperator (FR) 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Tell Your Daddy 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Dreams of Tomorrow 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 No Word 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 En Wye Cee 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Roxy Girl 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Frills 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Sweet Mia 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 No Deal 8.00 4 7-1
1 1 Lady by Choice 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Extra Effort 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Subsidiary 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Realm of Law 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 3 Abaan 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 American Law 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 Conglomerate 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Aruba 10.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Tackle 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Canyouhearmenow 50.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Sign of the Dove 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 A Thing of Beauty 6.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Perhaps Tonight (IRE) 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Ocean Air 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Princess Pinky 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Sum Kinda Pretty 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Kiss and Run 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Linny Kate 2.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Social Exclusion 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Sweet Franny Lu 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Entwine (IRE) 20.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Seahorse d’Oro 30.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Back Channel 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Della Lute 50.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Hollywood Gina 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Amity Island 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Stretchthestory 50.00 13.4 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Commandperformance 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 3 Don’t Wait Up 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 5 Drakon 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 4 Forced Ranking 5.00 1.7 3-1
10 9 Pine Valley 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Matt Doyle 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Torpedo Run 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Gruden 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Road to Stardom 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Irie Spice 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cloud Play 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Consumer Spending 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 6 Silvery Rill 3.00 1.6 3-1
10 8 Hedy Lamarr 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Dancin Dee 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dance for Gold 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Toeris 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Popular Vote 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Kazachan 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Old School (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hot Fudge 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Awesome Debate 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 5 Betsy Blue 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 3 Ifihadachance 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Honey Money 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Miss Jimmy 6.00 4.2 8-1
1A 8 A Life That’s Good 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 6 Party At Page’s 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Rossa Veloce 15.00 8.6 16-1
5 4 Ruvies in Time 4.50 SCRATCH
9 10 Beautiful Karen 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Hopeful S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wit 1.40 1.3 2-1
8 8 High Oak 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Defend 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Gunite 8.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Power Agenda 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Headline Report 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Kevin’s Folly 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Volcanic 30.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Big Scully 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 Kitodan 30.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Street Fight 50.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King Cause 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Ghost Giant 8.00 4 7-1
12 12 Klickitat 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Cold Hard Cash 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 La Hara (IRE) 3.50 4.7 9-1
9 9 Performing Arts 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Atone 8.00 5 9-1
11 11 Alley Oop Johnny 12.00 5 10-1
10 10 Unitedandresolute 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Johnny Sack 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Mister Winston 30.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Treason 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Advance Notice 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Crea’s Bklyn Law 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Air Show 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mr. Fidget 50.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Norman Queen 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 New York Supreme 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Black Panda 6.00 2.4 4-1
10 9 Orma 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Stella Mars 4.50 2.9 6-1
11 10 Inouaintalkintome 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Path Less Taken 12.00 3.8 7-1
13 12 Happy Hill Lil 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Speightska 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Barrel of Bliss 20.00 5.8 11-1
12 11 Idaka 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Ob La Di 20.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Captivating Cara 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mill Stone Creek 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Idalisa 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Reeley Psyched 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
Halftime
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Final
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4th - 0:00
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3rd - 0:17
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4th - 9:55
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3rd - 0:00
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3rd - 11:40
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 7:18
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