Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 6, 2021

September 6, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Disco Ebo 1.80 3.6 7-1
8 8 Crazy Serena 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Balboa’s Smile 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Bienvenue 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Golden Essence 8.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Ruby Dooby Doo 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Hold Me Closer 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Naryua W 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fiftyshadesofrun 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Irie Empress 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Alice Harper 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Willie Mays Hays 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Bode O 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 My Cousin Rich 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Bucks Are Moving 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Go Lime 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Alpha’s Candy Man 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Celtic Heart 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 O’Brien 8.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Austin Whylie 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Ashley’s Kittens 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Geebert 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sevier 1.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Getoffmyback 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Genghis 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Federal Case 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 D T Goodie 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Five More Minutes 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Tomater Gator 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Honorable Service 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pa Encima 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Top Shotta 10.00 5 9-1
12 12 Mr. Tuttle 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Maclean’s Legacy 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Fred’s Gonefishing 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Charly’s Assassin 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Dr Zrada 3.50 7.1 13-1
6 6 Field Officer 8.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Missed the Bus 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Rickie’s Melody 15.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Oracabessa 20.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Wiseman’s Secret 20.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Dangnabbit 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Kenner 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 7 Brindisi 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Vine Jet 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Downtownchalybrown 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Southern Runner 12.00 6.4 12-1
11 9 Aye 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 8 Don Giuseppe 6.00 7.4 14-1
12 10 Beast Or Famine 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Instant Chaos 12.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 That’s Right 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tuff Constitution 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Forgotten Magic 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Spikezone 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 5 Stonegate 3.50 5 9-1
11 7 Bob in Our Midst 4.50 5.9 11-1
13 9 Patriot’s War 5.00 5.9 11-1
10 6 Rated Special 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Inventionist 15.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 The Method 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Couch Dreams 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shiloh Lane 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ouch Ouch Ouch 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fole’s Notion 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Robert’s Luxury 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Smokum Peace Pipe 3.00 SCRATCH
7 3 Lt. Columbo 20.00 11.7 22-1
1 1 Go Huskies 20.00 11.9 23-1
8 4 Zealin It 15.00 12.1 23-1
12 8 Judicial Restraint 20.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gia’s Fuego 1.80 3.3 6-1
9 8 Shahaada 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Bold Confection 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Finest Work 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Brooklyn Heights 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Eight Danzas 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Disco Daisy 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 American Bastet 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Nyssa 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 God Still Loves Me 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Flashing Diamond 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Le Petite Papillon 2.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Gypsy Janie 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bucks Some 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Love On Fire 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Heroic Officer 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Lady Munnings 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Always Talking 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Charity Stripe 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Morissette 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Borsa Vento 4.50 6 11-1
10 7 Rings of Jupiter 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 6 Grit’n’grind 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Nico Bree N Teej 12.00 6.9 13-1
13 8 Terry’s Charm 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Nobiz Like Jetbiz 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Sacramento Q 15.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Eclipsed Moon 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kid Mac Cool 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Oldfashioned Club 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Off Duty 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Silver Fury 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Superhighway 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tivano 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Devine Dental 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Roamin Rachel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Regal Retort 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 1 Glory Dia 12.00 3 6-1
5 3 Pacific Gale 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Chub Wagon 1.20 4.3 8-1
7 5 B B’s Rocket 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Bronx Beauty 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Honor Way 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Salvatore M. Debunda Ptha President’s Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Sweet Willemina 1.80 3.2 6-1
7 3 B B’s Busted 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 5 Quiet Company 6.00 4.9 9-1
11 6 Tic Tic Tic Boom 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 2 Misquillo 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 4 Blue Shine 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Platinum Paynter 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Natoma 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Beautiful Lover 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Charge Account 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Light Up Night 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Reigning Fire 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Stormbeam 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Checotah 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Harbour Way 8.00 7.3 14-1
10 8 True Upgrade 15.00 8.2 16-1
12 10 Big Red Seven 4.50 8.4 16-1
13 11 Create a Story 6.00 8.4 16-1
5 4 Creedibility 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 7 Mad Mary 15.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Baltimore Beauty 20.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Tiz a Date 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Angel Raphael 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Verrazano Vittoria 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mary Costa 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Karabessa 15.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
4th - 3:33
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Final
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Final
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Final
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Final
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Final
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4th - 6:37
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1st - 3:28
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