September 6, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Colosi | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luck of the Draw | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feast | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mississippi | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Insider | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Magician | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Palace Coup | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jumper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Percolate (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Il Capitano | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classically | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookout Point | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Picota (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Honor Award | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Runner | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Birth of Cool | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Union | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Corsica Flavor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Khantaro d’Oro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Roy C | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Katonah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Recaptured Freedom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Barbwire | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Who’s the Star | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnificent | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Sailor | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Street Ruckus | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A. P. Pharoah | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Ford | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jedi Master | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Numero Dix (GB) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berolijean (FR) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Optimistic Valor | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wyfire | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Brilliant | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hay Juan | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chris Fix | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eye Candy Randy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mondale | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summanus | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Speech | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nationwide Pride | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empire’s Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Music | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Medina Man | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Swede | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Toasted At Dawn | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Thirsty Chapo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | I Know Cash Flow | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | She’s So Nice (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deise Delight (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nu Pi Lambda | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Althea Gibson | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anonymously | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fantail (GB) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A G Indy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vegas Palm | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | September Secret | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valpolicella (GB) | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miss Carousel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sweet Soulmate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Roses and Candy | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Donut Girl | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Direct Line | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laurel River | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indimaaj | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Butkus | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Armor | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proverb | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leading Score | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Final Jeopardy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silver Surfer (GB) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mackinnon | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optimising (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aquitania Arrival | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mogollon Rim | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Mane Champ | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thirty Four Coupe | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Socal Red | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shortman | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Runhappy Del Mar Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Murray | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pinehurst | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Xperiment | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pappacap | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olympic Legend | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finneus | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Muay Thai (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Algeria (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | General Mathis | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stone’s River | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tembo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ox Bridge | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cane Creek Road | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Reid | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zippy Baby | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drop Anchor | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.