September 5, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wearenotbadpeople | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Cal Memory | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irresistibly Sexy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Head for Business | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rifey | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warrens Candy Man | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gerlach’s | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Larry’s Legend | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pick Your Bid | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | V Bucks | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Andy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La V. | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Civil Suit | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Gigi | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elgofranco | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mulligan | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rowangoeshollywood | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Maneuver | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vulin | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Granola Girl | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let Freedom Rein | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roxbury | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cairo Memories | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blossoming | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peanut Butter Cup | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pearls and Heels | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Empire d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | French Franc (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ice Maiden | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Charlotte Harbor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Soul of a Warrior | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | What Goes On Tour | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jasmine Chieftain | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liv and Let Liv | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Season to Remember | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Til I Found You | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Island Life | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Mistress | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kerralia | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Mistress | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Focus First | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Over Attracted | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dramatizer | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reiwa | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom Lass | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ellie Arroway | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trouville | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bristol Bayou | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buy Wave Buy | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savvy Gal | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Del Mar Flash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 98 | Deise Delight (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Varoma | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vella | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | I Got a Gal | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Keychain Girl | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Benedict Canyon | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Very Scary | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lady T | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ayellowroseoftexas | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | She’s So Shiny | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blonde Bombshell | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Travel Smart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Real Fire | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fearless Girl (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Norma Jean B. | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zydeco Mama | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Costa Rica | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trickle In | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Hy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Peridot | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frose | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Del Mar Drama | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Resarcio | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Heat | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flightline | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Escape Route | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Notre Dame | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Positivity | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Parnelli | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Scott Daddy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Fighter | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Silver Moon Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Helens Well (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Into Touring | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dendera | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Urban | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Breezing (IRE) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dolly May (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Deuxieme Etoile | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Liam’s Dove | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Bellatrix | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sax | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distorted Diva | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tvg Del Mar Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elm Drive | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eda | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dance to the Music | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace Adler | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bicameral | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myfavoritedaughter | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | At the Spa | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock the Belles | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Really Big News | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auspicious Style | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just About Enough | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hail Freedom | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talklessworkmore | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Coupe | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Spot | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Eagle in the Sky | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothwater Linda | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Club Mesquite | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Funkenstein | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Assurance | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.