Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 5, 2021

September 5, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wearenotbadpeople 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 So Cal Memory 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Irresistibly Sexy 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Head for Business 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Rifey 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Warrens Candy Man 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Gerlach’s 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Larry’s Legend 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Pick Your Bid 30.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 V Bucks 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Big Andy 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 La V. 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Civil Suit 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Majestic Gigi 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Elgofranco 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Mulligan 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Rowangoeshollywood 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Secret Maneuver 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vulin 3.00 2 4-1
10 10 Wicked 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Granola Girl 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Let Freedom Rein 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Roxbury 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Cairo Memories 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Blossoming 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Peanut Butter Cup 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Pearls and Heels 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Empire d’Oro 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 French Franc (FR) 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Ice Maiden 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Charlotte Harbor 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Soul of a Warrior 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 What Goes On Tour 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Jasmine Chieftain 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Liv and Let Liv 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Season to Remember 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Til I Found You 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Island Life 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Secret Mistress 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Kerralia 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Bold Mistress 20.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Focus First 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Over Attracted 6.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Dramatizer 6.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Reiwa 5.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Freedom Lass 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Ellie Arroway 6.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Trouville 4.50 7.4 14-1
11 11 Bristol Bayou 12.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Buy Wave Buy 12.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Savvy Gal 12.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Del Mar Flash 12.00 SCRATCH
14 98 Deise Delight (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Varoma 15.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 Vella 20.00 11.4 22-1
12 12 Jimmyssmokedcarrot 20.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 I Got a Gal 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 3 Keychain Girl 4.00 2 4-1
9 7 Benedict Canyon 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 8 Very Scary 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Lady T 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Ayellowroseoftexas 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 She’s So Shiny 12.00 6 11-1
2 1 Blonde Bombshell 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Travel Smart 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Real Fire 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fearless Girl (IRE) 3.50 1.6 3-1
11 11 Norma Jean B. 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Zydeco Mama 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Miss Costa Rica 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Trickle In 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Ultimate Hy 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Lucky Peridot 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Frose 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Del Mar Drama 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Resarcio 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 New Heat 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Flightline 0.80 1.3 2-1
5 5 Escape Route 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Notre Dame 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Positivity 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Parnelli 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Big Scott Daddy 20.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Freedom Fighter 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Silver Moon Road 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Helens Well (IRE) 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Into Touring 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Dendera 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Urban 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sea Breezing (IRE) 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Dolly May (IRE) 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 La Deuxieme Etoile 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Liam’s Dove 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Miss Bellatrix 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Sax 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Distorted Diva 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tvg Del Mar Debutante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Elm Drive 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Eda 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Dance to the Music 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Grace Adler 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Bicameral 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Myfavoritedaughter 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 At the Spa 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Rock the Belles 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Really Big News 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Auspicious Style 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Just About Enough 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Hail Freedom 4.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Talklessworkmore 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Big Coupe 1.80 4.7 9-1
3 3 Hot Spot 15.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Eagle in the Sky 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Smoothwater Linda 20.00 6 11-1
11 11 Club Mesquite 30.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Funkenstein 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Assurance 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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4th - 5:42
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1st - 2:07
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