Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 4, 2021

September 4, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Comedy Town 2.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Sandy Bay 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Aim for the Sky 1.80 3.3 6-1
2 2 Speedy Bolt 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Miracle Silver 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Checkerboard Floor 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stribling 2.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Artie 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Dynamite Duke 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Saskatchewan 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Chunky Monkey 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Newport Agent 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Absolutist 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Racing in the Rain 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sararenda 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 The Good Witch 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Rolling Sloan 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Someone Else 4.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Under the Eye 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sea Anna Dream 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Sadie Irene 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Flat Out Vixen 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lady At Blame 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bahia Girl 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Chasing Shadows 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 In My Opinion 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Secrets Told 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Daredevil Is Back 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Using Coconuts 3.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Believing 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Shan’s Tiger 30.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Frosted Folly 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kiddie Holiday 1.80 3 6-1
2 2 Double Saw 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bossy Holiday 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Hunt Master 4.50 4 7-1
3 3 Forittable 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Anselmo 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sailor’s Passion 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 I’m a Chi Too 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Redoute’s Light 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cerrado 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Piccadilly Beau 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Moon Over Montana 2.00 5 9-1
3 3 Downy Boy 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Epilogue 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Suitedconnected 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Artistico 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 First Spring 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Seventyseven Stone 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Hazelbrook 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Beat the System 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Imagery 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 West Paw 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Hard Street 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Piquet 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Red Equinox 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Stokes 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Silver Dahlia 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Enchanted Lady 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pound Green 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Long Pond 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Ritmo de Cueca (ARG) 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 I’m Dashing 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 One Punch Charlie 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Decimator 2.50 5.6 11-1
9 9 Executive Search 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Carl G 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Prince of Thieves 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Tycoon 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 High Heat 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Anyquist 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Gina 1.80 3 6-1
3 3 Strega 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Loaded Vixen 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Classic Queen 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Way of Life 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Luz de La Luna 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Intro 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rapunzel’s Dream 3.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Text Me Up 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Stormy Derby Day 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Gea 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Stormy Vision 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Cool Society 3.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Tara Dawn 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Capable 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Cefalo 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Hanchy 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 4:49
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4th - 0:15
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3rd - 2:21
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 7:43
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2nd - 8:27
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1st - 11:21
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