September 4, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Lucky Heart | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cross the Mersey | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paolla Kisses | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enough Kisses | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Entrada | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Offlee Graysful | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Remarkable Lass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Drink the Tap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Decoupage | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Erica | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thea’s Theme | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Caught Up in You | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Le Weekend | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tara’s Talent | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Above Par | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | It’s Fate | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empty Nestr | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kierland | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sancocho (MEX) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mice and Men | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Him With Him | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Day | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Mr. Cunningham | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Axxerator | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Minecrafter | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Heart of Savino | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Savage Sailor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ten Twenty One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jardani | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amarillo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Grumley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King’s House | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ellas My Love | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | John’s Promise | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bazoo | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Swing | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yei Yei | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Blast | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Talent | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Storm Attack | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over and Thunder | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heartness | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Had a Feeling | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Hollywood | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Origo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | General’s Duty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spotted Cat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Run On the Trail | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ohio Class | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nashvegas | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Where Paradise Lay | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Close Shave | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrivederla | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Magnum | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Golden Gallant | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maracaibo | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapifly | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Throw Stones | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Second Line David | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bama Drifter | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Kid | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.