September 2, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yes I’m Evil | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Subiaco | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Bit | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Positive Skew | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coworth Park | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Claddagh’s Run | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blue Atlas | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mopolka | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Munny Bolt | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lanzoni | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dakota Gold | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cabana Time | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snow Candy | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Java Buzz | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Slipstream | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dream Fly | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dr Brownes Miracle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Liza’s Ready | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Iberville | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Red Pepper Grill | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Alex | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Danny Deep Cuts | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Gagliano | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Bustinmygroove | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Esotica | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cause to Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | East Wing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Power | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aloha West | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Technique | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonneman | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Last Buck | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Deferred Taxes | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mubtadaa | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Boldish | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Castle Chaos | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | My Boy Colton | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Deregulation (GB) | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Sign of the Dove | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Complicate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Aruba | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Illuminato | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Institute | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ava K’s Boy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Father Walsh | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Money Merger | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ocean’s Reserve | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Knightly Mischief | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lord Brownie | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Datesfreedom | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lazzarito | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gimmedamoney | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Time Limit | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Motivated Seller | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kansas Kis | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Summer Brew | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Meghan | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hydra | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can the Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tiple (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gotta Go Mo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Candy Tycoon | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Musical America | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Journeyman | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shotski | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Glory Road | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mo Gotcha | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Storm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Indian Counselor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Runningforhome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – P. G. Johnson S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Interpret | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Sail By | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Let’s Be Clear | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Breeze | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Expand the Map (IRE) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Philly Eagles (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Silvery Rill | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Take the Backroads | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mystic Eyes | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | I Gen | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hot Doctor | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sandor Clegane | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | I’m Blaming You | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Beau Brown | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | On Our Way Boyz | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tamburro’s Sox | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotanda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Babagram | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Banker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Majestic Tiger | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tempesta | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Stonecoldwarrior | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bail Out the Bank | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tuesday’s Child | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.