Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 2, 2021

September 2, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tmorrowisalongtime 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Velvet Slippers 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Park Avenue 1.60 2.5 5-1
7 7 Dream of Jeanne 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Angel of Freedom 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Assignation 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Lil Town Sis 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Time to Party 1.60 1.6 3-1
7 7 Facetious 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 One Time Mark 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Sumter 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Big Impact 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Bombs At Cocal 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Penetrator 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Raku Firing 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Drink the Wind 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Albizu 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Kattath 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Code Duello 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Wipe the Slate 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Impossible Task 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Exalted Joy 12.00 5 10-1
9 9 Hollywood’s Best 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 The Beat 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 I’mgonnabesomebody 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Sugar Sugar 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Brandon’smylawyer 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 6 Fast Janie 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Muy Chistosa 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 So Softly 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Sterling Crest (IRE) 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Tom’s Beauty 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Fortunata Tensio 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 98 Silent Beauty 0.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Granola Girl 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Seven Sisters 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Taming the Tigress 2.50 5 10-1
10 9 Kristi’s Tiger 4.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Li’l Grazen 6.00 6.8 13-1
12 11 Another Eddie 6.00 8.2 15-1
11 10 Mucha Woman 12.00 9.5 18-1
5 4 Smoothlikebuttah 15.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Little Miss Ellie 12.00 9.8 18-1
4 98 No Cover Charge 0.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Wishtheyallcouldbe 15.00 10.2 19-1
8 7 Takethediamondlane 15.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Miss Glorious 15.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Candy On Top 1.60 2.3 4-1
8 7 Peppermint Flirt 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Infinite Love 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Big Shamrock 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Heaven’s Ghost 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Bonita Leona 15.00 6.6 13-1
9 8 Precious Insight 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Amanda Rose 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 Roubaix 20.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Warren’s Showgirl 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ball Lass 5.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Peacehaven 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Finglas Lad 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Commissioner David 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Floyd Knowles 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tap Union 6.00 3 6-1
9 9 Double the Gold 1.60 3.8 7-1
4 4 State of the Union 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Lookinformischief 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 After the Candy 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Primed for Drinks 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Proof He Rides 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 El Diablo Rojo 5.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Star Racer 3.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Mischievous Path 6.00 8 15-1
4 4 Riding With Dino 6.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Caerulean 6.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Austin’s Boy 6.00 9 17-1
9 9 Foothill 8.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Hawk Hill 0.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Tacoflavoredkisses 6.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Castle 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Bound to Bet 10.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Zahra 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Hightailing 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Navy Queen 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Avisse 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Info’s Treasure 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sugar Kisses 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Katla 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Lady O’Prado 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Prudent 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Chewy Chewy Good 20.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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3rd - 8:17
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3rd - 4:20
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3rd - 9:31
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3rd - 8:45
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3rd - 3:42
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3rd - 5:09
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3rd - 4:44
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3rd - 0:50
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3rd - 9:53
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