September 2, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tmorrowisalongtime | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Slippers | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Park Avenue | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream of Jeanne | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angel of Freedom | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Assignation | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Town Sis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Time to Party | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Facetious | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Time Mark | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sumter | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Impact | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bombs At Cocal | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penetrator | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Raku Firing | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drink the Wind | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Albizu | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kattath | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Code Duello | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wipe the Slate | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impossible Task | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exalted Joy | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hollywood’s Best | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Beat | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’mgonnabesomebody | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Sugar Sugar | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Brandon’smylawyer | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fast Janie | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Muy Chistosa | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | So Softly | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sterling Crest (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tom’s Beauty | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fortunata Tensio | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Silent Beauty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Granola Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Seven Sisters | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Taming the Tigress | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kristi’s Tiger | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Li’l Grazen | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Another Eddie | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mucha Woman | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smoothlikebuttah | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Miss Ellie | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | No Cover Charge | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Takethediamondlane | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Glorious | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Candy On Top | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Peppermint Flirt | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infinite Love | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Shamrock | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heaven’s Ghost | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bonita Leona | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Precious Insight | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amanda Rose | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Roubaix | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Showgirl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ball Lass | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Peacehaven | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Finglas Lad | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commissioner David | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Floyd Knowles | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Union | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double the Gold | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | State of the Union | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookinformischief | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | After the Candy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Primed for Drinks | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Proof He Rides | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Diablo Rojo | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Racer | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Path | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riding With Dino | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caerulean | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Austin’s Boy | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foothill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Hawk Hill | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Castle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bound to Bet | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Zahra | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hightailing | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Navy Queen | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avisse | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Info’s Treasure | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Kisses | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Katla | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady O’Prado | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prudent | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chewy Chewy Good | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.